CHI @ DEN
NBA
Ball Arena
·Final
117–124
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 29 | 26 | 28 | 34 | 117 |
| DEN | 37 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 124 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (DEN) / 3 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
DEN
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey S | 29 | 25 | 9 | 6 |
| Matas Buzelis S | 30 | 20 | 3 | 1 |
| Jevon Carter | 22 | 17 | 4 | 3 |
| Ayo Dosunmu S | 28 | 11 | 3 | 3 |
| Zach Collins | 17 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Dalen Terry | 21 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| Patrick Williams | 25 | 9 | 1 | 5 |
| Nikola Vucevic S | 24 | 5 | 10 | 4 |
| Noa Essengue | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Smith | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Matas Buzelis ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:29 Q1
"Matas Buzelis makes 4-foot two point shot (Nikola Vucevic assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Nikola Jokic
DEN
18%
2
Matas Buzelis
CHI
16%
3
Josh Giddey
CHI
12%
4
Cameron Johnson
DEN
12%
5
Jamal Murray
DEN
11%
6
Isaac Okoro
CHI
11%
7
Christian Braun
DEN
10%
8
Tre Jones
CHI
10%
9
Ayo Dosunmu
CHI
0%
10
Dalen Terry
CHI
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
59%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
6%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | 17.2 | 7.4 | 5.0 |
| 2 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 15.6 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
| 3 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 15.2 | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| 4 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 13.2 | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| 5 | Zach Collins | CHI | 12.3 | 4.3 | 2.9 |
| 6 | Christian Braun | DEN | 12.1 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 10.7 | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Tre Jones | CHI | 10.3 | 3.4 | 4.9 |
| 9 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 10.0 | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 10 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 9.1 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Isaac Okoro | CHI | 8.4 | 2.7 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Jonas Valanciunas | DEN | 8.3 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Cameron Johnson | DEN | 7.6 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 14 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 7.5 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| 16 | Jalen Pickett | DEN | 6.6 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| 17 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 6.3 | 5.4 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Bruce Brown | DEN | 5.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Noa Essengue | CHI | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Curtis Jones | DEN | 5.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 22 | DaRon Holmes II | DEN | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Hunter Tyson | DEN | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 24 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 3.9 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 25 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 26 | Spencer Jones | DEN | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.