OKC @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
116–112
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 33 | 40 | 14 | 29 | 116 |
| MIL | 37 | 28 | 25 | 22 | 112 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 3 (MIL) / 4 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
MIL
30%
70%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 19 | 23 | 2 | 6 |
| Branden Carlson | 24 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein S | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 |
| Brooks Barnhizer | 28 | 10 | 12 | 2 |
| Alex Caruso S | 17 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| Cason Wallace S | 27 | 9 | 2 | 8 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 27 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 18 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Ousmane Dieng | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Malevy Leons | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes 24-foot three point jumper (Cason Wallace assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Aaron Wiggins
OKC
16%
2
Cason Wallace
OKC
16%
3
Gary Trent Jr.
MIL
16%
4
Kevin Porter Jr.
MIL
13%
5
Brooks Barnhizer
OKC
12%
6
Ousmane Dieng
OKC
12%
7
AJ Green
MIL
12%
8
Malevy Leons
OKC
0%
9
Chris Youngblood
OKC
0%
10
Zack Austin
OKC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
35%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
29%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 16.2 | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| 2 | Brooks Barnhizer | OKC | 12.2 | 5.8 | 2.0 |
| 3 | Chris Youngblood | OKC | 12.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 4 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 11.8 | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| 5 | AJ Green | MIL | 11.5 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 6 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 9.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Malevy Leons | OKC | 9.4 | 5.6 | 1.3 |
| 8 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 9.3 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Kevin Porter Jr. | MIL | 9.1 | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| 10 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 7.9 | 5.9 | 3.5 |
| 11 | Cole Anthony | MIL | 6.7 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Zack Austin | OKC | 5.5 | 2.9 | 0.8 |
| 15 | Pete Nance | MIL | 5.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Amir Coffey | MIL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Mark Sears | MIL | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 3.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.