NBA games

GUANGZHOU @ MIN

NBA Target Center ·Final
74–134
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
GUANGZHOU2016142474
MIN30383135134

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 3 (MIN) / 2 (GUANGZHOU) games this season
GUANGZHOU away
home MIN
23% 77%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Victor Oladipo S 28 14 1 1
Frank Kaminsky S 23 10 8 1
Deonte Burton 17 8 2 0
George King 20 8 2 0
Tim Frazier S 23 8 0 3
Pang Yanjun 20 7 1 0
Chen Guohao 19 6 2 1
Liu Yancheng S 22 5 2 0
Guan Ziyu 20 2 2 0
Justin Holiday 18 2 3 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Rob Dillingham S 28 27 2 9
Johnny Juzang 20 17 5 2
Rocco Zikarsky 26 16 3 2
Leonard Miller S 23 15 11 1
Terrence Shannon Jr. S 25 15 2 4
Jules Bernard 14 11 2 2
Joan Beringer S 22 10 10 1
Tristen Newton 19 9 3 1
Enrique Freeman 20 8 6 1
Alize Johnson 11 6 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Leonard Miller · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"Leonard Miller makes 24-foot three point jumper (Rob Dillingham assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN
10%
2 Bones Hyland MIN
10%
3 Alize Johnson MIN
10%
4 Enrique Freeman MIN
10%
5 Rocco Zikarsky MIN
10%
6 Jules Bernard MIN
10%
7 Tristen Newton MIN
10%
8 Joan Beringer MIN
10%
9 Johnny Juzang MIN
10%
10 Rob Dillingham MIN
9%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
12%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
11%
Layup
53%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Johnny Juzang MIN 16.0 4.1 1.5
2 Terrence Shannon Jr. MIN 13.3 4.6 3.9
3 Rob Dillingham MIN 11.7 2.8 6.5
4 Bones Hyland MIN 10.1 2.2 2.6
5 Joan Beringer MIN 9.8 5.9 1.3
6 Rocco Zikarsky MIN 7.6 4.5 1.1
7 Jules Bernard MIN 7.4 1.4 1.1
8 Alize Johnson MIN 7.2 4.1 1.1
9 Tristen Newton MIN 7.2 1.6 1.6
10 Enrique Freeman MIN 6.9 1.5 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.