SA @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
124–108
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 34 | 35 | 35 | 20 | 124 |
| IND | 30 | 36 | 29 | 13 | 108 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 2 (IND) / 3 (SA) games this season
SA
away
home
IND
40%
60%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama S | 25 | 27 | 11 | 4 |
| Luke Kornet | 22 | 16 | 7 | 1 |
| Stephon Castle S | 19 | 14 | 3 | 4 |
| Keldon Johnson | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Julian Champagnie S | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 |
| Dylan Harper | 22 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| Devin Vassell S | 28 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Carter Bryant | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Harrison Barnes S | 23 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| David Jones Garcia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Andrew Nembhard ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Andrew Nembhard makes 8-foot two point shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Keldon Johnson
SA
32%
2
Victor Wembanyama
SA
32%
3
Julian Champagnie
SA
19%
4
Harrison Barnes
SA
16%
5
Lindy Waters III
SA
0%
6
Harrison Ingram
SA
0%
7
David Jones Garcia
SA
0%
8
Riley Minix
SA
0%
9
Bismack Biyombo
SA
0%
10
Micah Potter
SA
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
8%
Dunk
22%
Free Throw
4%
Jumper
11%
Layup
55%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 16.0 | 7.2 | 4.2 |
| 2 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 14.5 | 4.6 | 0.9 |
| 3 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 10.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 4 | Carter Bryant | SA | 10.0 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 5 | Luke Kornet | SA | 9.6 | 6.7 | 2.1 |
| 6 | David Jones Garcia | SA | 9.4 | 4.0 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Lindy Waters III | SA | 6.2 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 8 | Harrison Ingram | SA | 5.5 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 9 | Harrison Barnes | SA | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Stanley Umude | SA | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 11 | Riley Minix | SA | 3.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Bismack Biyombo | SA | 3.1 | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| 13 | Micah Potter | SA | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.