DET @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
133–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 41 | 40 | 27 | 25 | 133 |
| IND | 27 | 36 | 26 | 32 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (DET) games this season
DET
away
home
IND
57%
43%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Reed S | 22 | 26 | 6 | 3 |
| Tobias Harris S | 22 | 24 | 4 | 1 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 17 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| Kevin Huerter | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 |
| Duncan Robinson S | 22 | 9 | 2 | 2 |
| Ausar Thompson S | 22 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Cade Cunningham S | 22 | 7 | 8 | 14 |
| Caris LeVert | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Javonte Green | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Tolu Smith | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Paul Reed ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:07 Q1
"Paul Reed makes 1-foot layup (Ausar Thompson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Cade Cunningham
DET
14%
2
Jarace Walker
IND
13%
3
Ausar Thompson
DET
12%
4
Ethan Thompson
IND
10%
5
Quenton Jackson
IND
9%
6
Ben Sheppard
IND
9%
7
Tobias Harris
DET
9%
8
Duncan Robinson
DET
8%
9
Kobe Brown
IND
8%
10
Micah Potter
IND
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
46%
Layup
15%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cade Cunningham | DET | 20.6 | 4.5 | 10.2 |
| 2 | Daniss Jenkins | DET | 18.7 | 4.2 | 7.1 |
| 3 | Jarace Walker | IND | 15.3 | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| 4 | Duncan Robinson | DET | 14.7 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Tobias Harris | DET | 13.6 | 5.0 | 3.3 |
| 6 | Obi Toppin | IND | 13.3 | 4.6 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Kevin Huerter | DET | 12.2 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Ausar Thompson | DET | 11.2 | 6.0 | 3.9 |
| 9 | Ethan Thompson | IND | 11.0 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Micah Potter | IND | 10.4 | 5.5 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Jay Huff | IND | 10.4 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| 12 | Kobe Brown | IND | 10.2 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| 13 | Quenton Jackson | IND | 9.9 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 14 | Jalen Slawson | IND | 9.1 | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| 15 | Isaiah Stewart | DET | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Paul Reed | DET | 8.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Caris LeVert | DET | 7.8 | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| 18 | Javonte Green | DET | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Ronald Holland II | DET | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| 20 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 7.4 | 2.5 | 5.1 |
| 21 | Taelon Peter | IND | 6.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Kam Jones | IND | 5.7 | 2.1 | 4.2 |
| 24 | Marcus Sasser | DET | 4.6 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| 25 | Tolu Smith | DET | 3.2 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Chaz Lanier | DET | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 27 | Isaac Jones | DET | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.