NBA games

MEM @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
101–147
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MEM30222227101
UTAH33413637147

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (MEM) games this season
MEM away
home UTAH
32% 68%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Dariq Whitehead S 24 21 3 0
Toby Okani S 42 20 2 2
Adama Bal S 38 18 2 4
Rayan Rupert 40 16 12 4
Jahmai Mashack S 48 13 15 14
Lucas Williamson S 48 13 13 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Blake Hinson S 35 30 2 2
Bez Mbeng 38 27 11 11
Kennedy Chandler S 41 26 5 10
Ace Bailey S 29 23 10 2
Oscar Tshiebwe S 28 16 22 3
Cody Williams S 34 14 3 5
John Konchar 35 11 11 10

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dariq Whitehead · Layup (2 pts) · 10:56 Q1
"Dariq Whitehead makes running layup (Jahmai Mashack assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cody Williams UTAH
10%
2 Isaiah Collier UTAH
8%
3 Ace Bailey UTAH
8%
4 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
8%
5 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
7%
6 GG Jackson MEM
7%
7 Cedric Coward MEM
7%
8 Olivier-Maxence Prosper MEM
7%
9 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH
6%
10 Jahmai Mashack MEM
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
27%
Jumper
39%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 26.8 4.7 5.1
2 Ace Bailey UTAH 23.3 6.1 4.0
3 Cody Williams UTAH 21.7 5.2 6.0
4 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 21.6 9.4 4.9
5 GG Jackson MEM 21.1 5.3 2.7
6 Olivier-Maxence Prosper MEM 19.0 4.9 1.8
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 19.0 3.7 7.1
8 Kennedy Chandler UTAH 17.5 4.3 7.3
9 Javon Small MEM 17.5 3.9 4.3
10 Cedric Coward MEM 17.0 4.6 2.7
11 Rayan Rupert MEM 15.6 5.8 2.1
12 Cam Spencer MEM 12.9 2.4 5.6
13 John Konchar UTAH 12.5 7.7 4.5
14 Lucas Williamson MEM 12.0 4.0 2.5
15 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 11.8 2.9 2.3
16 Adama Bal MEM 11.8 3.5 2.3
17 Toby Okani MEM 11.8 3.5 1.3
18 Dariq Whitehead MEM 11.3 3.4 2.1
19 Jahmai Mashack MEM 10.8 4.0 2.8
20 Blake Hinson UTAH 10.5 2.7 2.0
21 Bez Mbeng UTAH 10.4 4.0 4.1
22 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 10.2 8.1 2.1
23 Kevin Love UTAH 6.2 5.1 2.0
24 Taj Gibson MEM 5.3 2.8 1.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.