NBA games

UTAH @ OKC

NBA Paycom Center ·Final
111–146
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH25292730111
OKC40353338146

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home OKC
8% 92%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brice Sensabaugh S 43 34 4 5
Kyle Filipowski S 38 20 14 6
Svi Mykhailiuk 23 17 4 1
Ace Bailey S 33 14 4 2
John Konchar 26 9 9 3
Cody Williams S 36 8 4 5
Kennedy Chandler 20 5 0 5
Oscar Tshiebwe S 20 4 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Chet Holmgren S 22 21 7 1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S 24 20 4 7
Cason Wallace 22 16 5 1
Jalen Williams S 26 15 2 7
Luguentz Dort S 21 13 4 2
Branden Carlson 8 11 2 0
Isaiah Hartenstein S 19 10 8 3
Isaiah Joe 14 9 2 1
Kenrich Williams 8 8 1 1
Ajay Mitchell 19 7 1 7

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kyle Filipowski · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Kyle Filipowski makes 10-foot fade away jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Williams OKC
11%
2 Cody Williams UTAH
11%
3 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
10%
4 Isaiah Collier UTAH
10%
5 Chet Holmgren OKC
10%
6 Ace Bailey UTAH
9%
7 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
8%
8 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
8%
9 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC
6%
10 Elijah Harkless UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
29%
Jumper
20%
Layup
31%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC 32.3 4.8 6.6
2 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 23.1 4.5 3.7
3 Ace Bailey UTAH 20.0 5.2 3.0
4 Cody Williams UTAH 19.9 4.5 4.8
5 Jalen Williams OKC 17.5 4.6 5.4
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 16.8 7.3 3.7
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 16.6 3.0 5.8
8 Chet Holmgren OKC 15.7 8.4 1.8
9 Ajay Mitchell OKC 12.9 4.0 3.5
10 Kennedy Chandler UTAH 12.5 3.3 5.3
11 Elijah Harkless UTAH 11.1 3.0 3.4
12 John Konchar UTAH 9.5 6.3 2.5
13 Jared McCain OKC 9.0 2.4 1.2
14 Cason Wallace OKC 8.9 3.6 2.3
15 Isaiah Joe OKC 8.8 2.7 1.3
16 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 7.9 6.4 1.2
17 Luguentz Dort OKC 7.9 3.1 1.3
18 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC 7.6 9.9 4.0
19 Jaylin Williams OKC 7.1 5.9 1.8
20 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 6.9 1.9 1.2
21 Bez Mbeng UTAH 6.9 3.1 2.8
22 Aaron Wiggins OKC 6.8 2.5 1.2
23 Alex Caruso OKC 5.8 3.0 1.9
24 Nikola Topic OKC 5.7 2.3 2.9
25 Kenrich Williams OKC 4.9 2.6 1.2
26 Branden Carlson OKC 4.0 2.8 0.8
27 Kevin Love UTAH 3.8 4.6 1.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.