NBA games

WSH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
115–121
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH23313031115
BKN35242636121

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home BKN
68% 32%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Will Riley 35 30 4 6
Jamir Watkins S 44 20 8 2
Julian Reese S 44 17 16 1
Anthony Gill S 41 17 5 3
Bub Carrington S 17 13 3 3
Jaden Hardy 14 8 0 3
Leaky Black S 42 8 5 1
Sharife Cooper 3 2 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nolan Traore S 28 23 2 7
Jalen Wilson S 26 19 5 4
E.J. Liddell S 30 15 5 2
Josh Minott 18 15 1 1
Drake Powell S 29 13 1 2
Ochai Agbaji 18 12 4 2
Tyson Etienne 20 9 0 4
Chaney Johnson S 21 9 5 1
Trevon Scott 28 4 8 3
Malachi Smith 21 2 4 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Nolan Traore · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:52 Q1
"Nolan Traore makes 25-foot three point jumper (Drake Powell assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Will Riley WSH
14%
2 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
14%
3 Bub Carrington WSH
13%
4 Anthony Gill WSH
12%
5 Nolan Traore BKN
12%
6 Tristan Vukcevic WSH
12%
7 Drake Powell BKN
11%
8 Tre Johnson WSH
10%
9 Jaden Hardy WSH
0%
10 Leaky Black WSH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
34%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Will Riley WSH 18.7 3.7 3.1
2 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 16.7 5.0 2.8
3 Bub Carrington WSH 15.7 3.0 4.8
4 Josh Minott BKN 14.9 3.9 1.9
5 Ziaire Williams BKN 13.0 3.2 2.1
6 Ben Saraf BKN 12.8 3.7 4.5
7 Jaden Hardy WSH 12.2 2.4 1.8
8 Nolan Traore BKN 11.8 3.2 5.4
9 Tristan Vukcevic WSH 11.4 3.9 1.4
10 Anthony Gill WSH 11.2 4.5 2.2
11 Julian Reese WSH 11.2 10.2 2.0
12 Sharife Cooper WSH 11.1 3.4 4.1
13 Tre Johnson WSH 11.1 3.2 2.1
14 Justin Champagnie WSH 10.8 5.1 1.6
15 Chaney Johnson BKN 10.2 4.7 2.9
16 Drake Powell BKN 9.3 3.0 1.8
17 Leaky Black WSH 8.4 5.3 1.7
18 Tyson Etienne BKN 8.2 1.7 1.8
19 Jamir Watkins WSH 8.1 4.2 2.1
20 Malachi Smith BKN 7.7 2.9 2.0
21 Jalen Wilson BKN 7.5 2.7 1.1
22 Ochai Agbaji BKN 7.0 2.8 0.9
23 E.J. Liddell BKN 4.1 3.2 1.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.