UTAH @ HOU
NBA
Toyota Center (Houston)
·Final
106–140
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 22 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 106 |
| HOU | 34 | 35 | 38 | 33 | 140 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (HOU) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
HOU
43%
57%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Williams S | 38 | 27 | 11 | 4 |
| Ace Bailey S | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 |
| Brice Sensabaugh S | 33 | 20 | 3 | 5 |
| Kyle Filipowski S | 30 | 17 | 7 | 2 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 21 | 15 | 10 | 1 |
| John Konchar S | 30 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Kennedy Chandler | 25 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Bez Mbeng | 29 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kevin Durant ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:56 Q1
"Kevin Durant makes 11-foot fade away jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Amen Thompson
HOU
12%
2
Kevin Durant
HOU
12%
3
Cody Williams
UTAH
10%
4
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
9%
5
Ace Bailey
UTAH
8%
6
Alperen Sengun
HOU
8%
7
Jabari Smith Jr.
HOU
8%
8
Kyle Filipowski
UTAH
8%
9
Brice Sensabaugh
UTAH
7%
10
Oscar Tshiebwe
UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
42%
Jumper
23%
Layup
25%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Durant | HOU | 26.3 | 5.0 | 6.9 |
| 2 | Alperen Sengun | HOU | 24.7 | 8.8 | 7.0 |
| 3 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 23.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 19.5 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| 5 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 19.3 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| 6 | Amen Thompson | HOU | 19.1 | 9.1 | 5.5 |
| 7 | Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | 17.4 | 7.4 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 17.0 | 7.3 | 4.1 |
| 9 | Reed Sheppard | HOU | 16.8 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
| 10 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 16.7 | 3.0 | 5.9 |
| 11 | Kennedy Chandler | UTAH | 14.1 | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| 12 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 11.3 | 3.0 | 3.6 |
| 13 | Tari Eason | HOU | 10.4 | 6.2 | 1.6 |
| 14 | John Konchar | UTAH | 9.2 | 6.1 | 2.3 |
| 15 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 7.7 | 6.5 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Bez Mbeng | UTAH | 7.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 18 | Aaron Holiday | HOU | 5.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Clint Capela | HOU | 4.4 | 5.6 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Dorian Finney-Smith | HOU | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 4.0 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| 22 | JD Davison | HOU | 3.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Jae'Sean Tate | HOU | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Josh Okogie | HOU | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 25 | Jeff Green | HOU | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.