PHX @ CHA
NBA
Spectrum Center
·Final
107–127
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 41 | 19 | 27 | 20 | 107 |
| CHA | 33 | 33 | 36 | 25 | 127 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHA) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX
away
home
CHA
29%
71%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green S | 34 | 25 | 4 | 7 |
| Devin Booker S | 36 | 22 | 5 | 6 |
| Dillon Brooks S | 29 | 13 | 1 | 3 |
| Grayson Allen | 25 | 13 | 2 | 1 |
| Mark Williams | 20 | 12 | 4 | 1 |
| Collin Gillespie S | 24 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Oso Ighodaro S | 25 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| Royce O'Neale | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Goodwin | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Rasheer Fleming | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Collin Gillespie ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:46 Q1
"Collin Gillespie makes 25-foot three point jumper (Devin Booker assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Dillon Brooks
PHX
13%
2
Devin Booker
PHX
12%
3
Miles Bridges
CHA
10%
4
LaMelo Ball
CHA
10%
5
Jalen Green
PHX
9%
6
Oso Ighodaro
PHX
9%
7
Mark Williams
PHX
8%
8
Moussa Diabate
CHA
8%
9
Kon Knueppel
CHA
7%
10
Brandon Miller
CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
28%
Layup
38%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Booker | PHX | 27.8 | 3.7 | 6.2 |
| 2 | LaMelo Ball | CHA | 23.1 | 4.9 | 6.4 |
| 3 | Jalen Green | PHX | 21.1 | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| 4 | Dillon Brooks | PHX | 20.4 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Brandon Miller | CHA | 19.1 | 4.4 | 3.9 |
| 6 | Coby White | CHA | 18.4 | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 17.0 | 2.8 | 4.7 |
| 8 | Kon Knueppel | CHA | 16.7 | 5.6 | 3.3 |
| 9 | Miles Bridges | CHA | 16.2 | 5.0 | 2.4 |
| 10 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 10.8 | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| 11 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 9.9 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
| 12 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 9.0 | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Jordan Goodwin | PHX | 8.7 | 5.7 | 2.1 |
| 14 | Moussa Diabate | CHA | 8.4 | 8.6 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Rasheer Fleming | PHX | 7.2 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| 16 | Mark Williams | PHX | 6.8 | 6.3 | 0.6 |
| 17 | Ryan Kalkbrenner | CHA | 6.7 | 3.8 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Grant Williams | CHA | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Sion James | CHA | 5.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 21 | Khaman Maluach | PHX | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.4 |
| 22 | Josh Green | CHA | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Pat Connaughton | CHA | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Koby Brea | PHX | 3.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| 25 | Jamaree Bouyea | PHX | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| 26 | Tre Mann | CHA | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Xavier Tillman | CHA | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.