NBA games

CHA @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
117–86
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHA35233128117
BKN1827182386

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home BKN
71% 29%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brandon Miller S 29 25 1 3
Miles Bridges S 24 19 5 2
Coby White 21 16 2 5
LaMelo Ball S 28 14 7 9
Moussa Diabate S 27 10 12 1
Grant Williams 20 10 2 2
Ryan Kalkbrenner 18 8 3 0
Kon Knueppel S 25 8 7 0
Josh Green 14 3 0 0
Tre Mann 6 2 2 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Josh Minott 23 14 2 0
Chaney Johnson 27 11 4 0
Drake Powell S 28 10 6 1
Nolan Traore S 23 10 5 4
Ziaire Williams S 24 10 0 0
Ben Saraf 19 7 2 3
Tyson Etienne 15 5 0 1
Nic Claxton S 22 4 4 3
Noah Clowney S 20 4 3 0
Jalen Wilson 9 4 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Brandon Miller · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Brandon Miller makes 27-foot three pointer (LaMelo Ball assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 LaMelo Ball CHA
14%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
3 Miles Bridges CHA
12%
4 Nolan Traore BKN
10%
5 Moussa Diabate CHA
10%
6 Ziaire Williams BKN
9%
7 Brandon Miller CHA
8%
8 Drake Powell BKN
8%
9 Noah Clowney BKN
8%
10 Kon Knueppel CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
34%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
30%
Layup
20%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 LaMelo Ball CHA 23.5 4.8 6.0
2 Brandon Miller CHA 19.4 5.3 4.0
3 Kon Knueppel CHA 18.3 5.5 3.5
4 Coby White CHA 18.0 4.1 3.1
5 Miles Bridges CHA 16.2 5.1 2.4
6 Ziaire Williams BKN 13.2 2.8 1.9
7 Ben Saraf BKN 12.5 3.3 4.6
8 Josh Minott BKN 10.2 3.1 1.5
9 Nolan Traore BKN 9.9 2.5 4.5
10 Noah Clowney BKN 9.8 4.1 1.6
11 Nic Claxton BKN 8.7 6.0 2.0
12 Moussa Diabate CHA 8.5 8.9 2.1
13 Drake Powell BKN 8.5 2.0 1.4
14 Chaney Johnson BKN 8.1 4.3 2.5
15 Ochai Agbaji BKN 7.6 2.6 0.9
16 Tyson Etienne BKN 7.5 1.4 1.8
17 Malachi Smith BKN 7.0 2.5 2.1
18 Ryan Kalkbrenner CHA 6.7 4.2 1.0
19 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.5 2.3 1.0
20 Sion James CHA 6.0 2.8 1.9
21 Grant Williams CHA 5.8 3.3 1.4
22 Josh Green CHA 4.2 1.7 0.8
23 E.J. Liddell BKN 4.2 2.6 1.3
24 Pat Connaughton CHA 3.1 1.4 0.5
25 Tre Mann CHA 2.8 1.1 0.7
26 Xavier Tillman CHA 2.4 1.6 0.6
27 Antonio Reeves CHA 2.4 0.8 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.