UTAH @ DEN
NBA
Ball Arena
·Final
129–135
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 26 | 36 | 43 | 24 | 129 |
| DEN | 37 | 25 | 36 | 37 | 135 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DEN) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
DEN
27%
73%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Filipowski S | 25 | 25 | 8 | 5 |
| Cody Williams S | 30 | 24 | 0 | 7 |
| Kennedy Chandler | 29 | 16 | 1 | 7 |
| John Konchar | 30 | 16 | 8 | 2 |
| Ace Bailey S | 27 | 15 | 7 | 1 |
| Brice Sensabaugh S | 25 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| Elijah Harkless S | 41 | 11 | 4 | 2 |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 12 | 9 | 9 | 3 |
| Bez Mbeng | 19 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Ace Bailey ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:18 Q1
"Ace Bailey makes 19-foot pullup jump shot (Kyle Filipowski assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Cody Williams
UTAH
11%
2
Jamal Murray
DEN
10%
3
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
10%
4
Nikola Jokic
DEN
9%
5
Aaron Gordon
DEN
8%
6
Christian Braun
DEN
8%
7
Cameron Johnson
DEN
8%
8
Ace Bailey
UTAH
7%
9
Kyle Filipowski
UTAH
6%
10
Elijah Harkless
UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
39%
Layup
29%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | 31.0 | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| 2 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 27.0 | 4.7 | 6.9 |
| 3 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 22.0 | 3.9 | 3.1 |
| 4 | Peyton Watson | DEN | 21.4 | 5.1 | 3.5 |
| 5 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 20.9 | 4.6 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 20.1 | 4.8 | 4.6 |
| 7 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 17.7 | 3.1 | 6.3 |
| 8 | Christian Braun | DEN | 16.4 | 5.3 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Cameron Johnson | DEN | 16.1 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 10 | Aaron Gordon | DEN | 15.1 | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| 11 | Kennedy Chandler | UTAH | 14.7 | 3.1 | 5.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 14.3 | 8.6 | 4.2 |
| 13 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| 14 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 13.0 | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| 15 | Bruce Brown | DEN | 9.2 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Bez Mbeng | UTAH | 7.9 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 17 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 7.7 | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Spencer Jones | DEN | 7.6 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 20 | John Konchar | UTAH | 7.0 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 21 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 6.6 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 4.6 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Jonas Valanciunas | DEN | 4.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| 24 | DaRon Holmes II | DEN | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Jalen Pickett | DEN | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Tyus Jones | DEN | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| 27 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.