NO @ DET
NBA
Little Caesars Arena
·Final
108–129
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 33 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 108 |
| DET | 31 | 34 | 27 | 37 | 129 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DET) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
DET
33%
67%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 31 | 21 | 6 | 2 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 31 | 17 | 1 | 3 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 27 | 13 | 2 | 6 |
| Dejounte Murray S | 29 | 12 | 7 | 4 |
| Derik Queen | 21 | 11 | 11 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones S | 27 | 11 | 0 | 4 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 15 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
| DeAndre Jordan S | 17 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Yves Missi | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Tobias Harris ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Tobias Harris makes 25-foot three point jumper (Daniss Jenkins assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
20%
2
Jalen Duren
DET
13%
3
Dejounte Murray
NO
11%
4
Saddiq Bey
NO
11%
5
Ausar Thompson
DET
11%
6
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
7
Tobias Harris
DET
9%
8
Daniss Jenkins
DET
8%
9
Duncan Robinson
DET
7%
10
DeAndre Jordan
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
53%
Jumper
9%
Layup
30%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Duren | DET | 23.1 | 10.4 | 2.1 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 20.9 | 6.1 | 3.1 |
| 3 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 19.8 | 5.3 | 6.9 |
| 4 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 17.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Daniss Jenkins | DET | 14.6 | 3.5 | 6.1 |
| 6 | Tobias Harris | DET | 13.6 | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Duncan Robinson | DET | 11.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 11.5 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 9 | Herbert Jones | NO | 11.1 | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 10 | Ausar Thompson | DET | 10.5 | 5.9 | 3.3 |
| 11 | Kevin Huerter | DET | 8.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 12 | Jordan Poole | NO | 7.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Paul Reed | DET | 7.7 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
| 14 | Ronald Holland II | DET | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Derik Queen | NO | 7.5 | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| 16 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 7.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Javonte Green | DET | 6.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.2 | 6.6 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Marcus Sasser | DET | 4.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| 20 | Kevon Looney | NO | 4.0 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | DeAndre Jordan | NO | 3.4 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Tolu Smith | DET | 3.0 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Isaac Jones | DET | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 24 | Bobi Klintman | DET | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Chaz Lanier | DET | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Micah Peavy | NO | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.