NBA games

NY @ CHA

NBA Spectrum Center ·Final
103–114
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY36192127103
CHA38272920114

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHA) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CHA
49% 51%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 40 26 2 13
OG Anunoby S 39 17 3 2
Josh Hart S 39 16 7 4
Mikal Bridges S 32 14 0 2
Karl-Anthony Towns S 22 13 3 2
Jordan Clarkson 18 8 1 1
Mohamed Diawara 13 5 1 1
Mitchell Robinson 26 4 6 1
Tyler Kolek 6 0 1 0
Jose Alvarado 5 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kon Knueppel S 37 26 11 8
LaMelo Ball S 36 22 5 6
Brandon Miller S 33 21 8 3
Miles Bridges S 32 17 5 3
Coby White 23 17 3 2
Grant Williams 15 5 1 1
Ryan Kalkbrenner 18 4 4 1
Moussa Diabate S 30 2 5 3
Josh Green 2 0 0 0
Sion James 14 0 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jalen Brunson · Layup (2 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Jalen Brunson makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
16%
2 LaMelo Ball CHA
12%
3 Miles Bridges CHA
11%
4 Josh Hart NY
9%
5 Moussa Diabate CHA
9%
6 Mikal Bridges NY
9%
7 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
9%
8 Brandon Miller CHA
9%
9 OG Anunoby NY
7%
10 Kon Knueppel CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
50%
Layup
17%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 24.7 3.4 8.0
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 22.3 11.6 3.4
3 LaMelo Ball CHA 20.5 4.9 6.1
4 OG Anunoby NY 19.6 4.8 2.9
5 Coby White CHA 18.4 3.5 3.8
6 Brandon Miller CHA 18.4 5.6 4.6
7 Kon Knueppel CHA 16.7 3.8 3.1
8 Miles Bridges CHA 14.7 4.8 2.3
9 Josh Hart NY 13.8 8.0 3.8
10 Mikal Bridges NY 9.7 4.1 3.2
11 Jordan Clarkson NY 8.6 2.2 1.6
12 Moussa Diabate CHA 8.3 8.7 2.5
13 Ryan Kalkbrenner CHA 7.5 4.1 1.0
14 Mitchell Robinson NY 6.8 9.3 1.0
15 Sion James CHA 5.9 2.8 1.7
16 Grant Williams CHA 5.7 2.9 1.5
17 Mohamed Diawara NY 5.4 2.0 1.3
18 Jose Alvarado NY 4.9 1.3 3.5
19 Josh Green CHA 4.7 1.8 0.9
20 Tre Mann CHA 3.0 1.2 0.8
21 Tyler Kolek NY 2.9 0.9 1.8
22 Pat Connaughton CHA 2.6 0.9 0.4
23 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.5 1.0 0.6
24 Jeremy Sochan NY 2.2 1.7 0.5
25 Xavier Tillman CHA 2.1 1.5 0.7
26 Ariel Hukporti NY 1.8 1.8 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.