NBA games

WSH @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
133–110
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH33393229133
UTAH20253035110

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home UTAH
29% 71%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Julian Reese S 30 26 17 0
Jaden Hardy 27 21 2 0
Will Riley S 22 19 10 5
Sharife Cooper 25 17 4 6
Bub Carrington S 24 12 2 3
Leaky Black S 40 11 7 3
Bilal Coulibaly S 19 11 2 3
Anthony Gill 22 8 6 5
Jamir Watkins 29 8 6 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cody Williams S 37 24 4 1
Blake Hinson 11 21 0 1
Ace Bailey S 29 15 5 3
Kennedy Chandler 34 14 1 8
Bez Mbeng S 44 11 5 6
Elijah Harkless S 30 10 3 6
John Konchar S 38 8 14 5
Oscar Tshiebwe 17 7 8 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Will Riley · Layup (2 pts) · 11:24 Q1
"Will Riley makes finger roll layup (Bilal Coulibaly assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ace Bailey UTAH
12%
2 Isaiah Collier UTAH
10%
3 Cody Williams UTAH
9%
4 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
8%
5 Will Riley WSH
7%
6 Julian Reese WSH
7%
7 Alex Sarr WSH
7%
8 Elijah Harkless UTAH
6%
9 Bez Mbeng UTAH
6%
10 Justin Champagnie WSH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
29%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 23.2 4.2 3.5
2 Ace Bailey UTAH 21.5 4.9 3.3
3 Isaiah Collier UTAH 18.5 3.6 6.6
4 Cody Williams UTAH 18.3 5.1 5.2
5 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 17.0 5.1 3.3
6 Will Riley WSH 16.2 3.8 2.8
7 Kennedy Chandler UTAH 14.6 3.5 5.2
8 Bub Carrington WSH 13.6 3.7 4.7
9 Alex Sarr WSH 12.6 6.5 2.7
10 Jaden Hardy WSH 12.1 2.5 1.9
11 Elijah Harkless UTAH 11.9 3.0 4.1
12 Tre Johnson WSH 11.6 3.4 1.9
13 Justin Champagnie WSH 10.5 4.6 1.4
14 Leaky Black WSH 10.3 5.1 1.6
15 Julian Reese WSH 10.2 9.5 1.8
16 Jamir Watkins WSH 9.6 4.1 2.4
17 Blake Hinson UTAH 8.4 2.4 1.0
18 Bez Mbeng UTAH 8.4 3.9 3.6
19 Anthony Gill WSH 7.7 4.1 1.6
20 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.4 2.0 1.4
21 John Konchar UTAH 7.0 4.3 1.8
22 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 6.9 5.7 1.0
23 Sharife Cooper WSH 5.9 2.3 2.6
24 Kevin Love UTAH 5.4 5.1 1.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.