NO @ NY
NBA
Madison Square Garden
·Final
116–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 28 | 32 | 32 | 24 | 116 |
| NY | 42 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NY) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
NY
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 34 | 22 | 4 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 20 | 21 | 1 | 3 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 28 | 18 | 4 | 2 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 36 | 16 | 6 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones S | 37 | 13 | 2 | 6 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 |
| Dejounte Murray S | 28 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Derik Queen | 18 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Yves Missi | 17 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Herbert Jones ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:44 Q1
"Herbert Jones makes 3-foot turnaround jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jalen Brunson
NY
13%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
3
Mikal Bridges
NY
11%
4
Dejounte Murray
NO
11%
5
Saddiq Bey
NO
10%
6
Josh Hart
NY
9%
7
Karl-Anthony Towns
NY
9%
8
OG Anunoby
NY
9%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
9%
10
Trey Murphy III
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
41%
Layup
18%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jalen Brunson | NY | 24.4 | 3.7 | 9.4 |
| 2 | Karl-Anthony Towns | NY | 23.4 | 11.8 | 4.0 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 20.5 | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 20.4 | 5.9 | 2.8 |
| 5 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 19.9 | 5.0 | 6.4 |
| 6 | OG Anunoby | NY | 19.4 | 5.0 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 17.3 | 5.1 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Josh Hart | NY | 14.7 | 7.9 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Mikal Bridges | NY | 10.3 | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.2 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 11 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 9.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Jordan Clarkson | NY | 8.2 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Jordan Poole | NO | 7.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| 14 | Derik Queen | NO | 7.0 | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| 15 | Mitchell Robinson | NY | 6.9 | 9.7 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 6.2 | 4.5 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Mohamed Diawara | NY | 5.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 18 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.5 | 6.3 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Jose Alvarado | NY | 5.3 | 1.4 | 3.6 |
| 20 | Kevon Looney | NO | 4.0 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Tyler Kolek | NY | 3.6 | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 22 | DeAndre Jordan | NO | 3.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Pacome Dadiet | NY | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Jeremy Sochan | NY | 2.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Trey Jemison III | NY | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Micah Peavy | NO | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.