NBA games

BKN @ POR

NBA Moda Center ·Final
99–134
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN3021222699
POR35342837134

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home POR
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyson Etienne 24 18 1 4
Ziaire Williams S 24 16 4 1
Josh Minott S 33 15 5 1
Chaney Johnson 26 12 5 3
Jalen Wilson S 31 11 4 1
Ben Saraf 19 10 3 2
Nic Claxton S 22 10 4 2
Malachi Smith 24 5 2 3
E.J. Liddell 14 2 1 0
Nolan Traore S 16 0 3 5
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Toumani Camara S 28 35 3 3
Deni Avdija S 21 18 5 2
Kris Murray 31 16 5 5
Scoot Henderson 24 13 3 4
Jrue Holiday S 27 11 7 4
Matisse Thybulle 19 10 0 0
Blake Wesley 20 9 2 5
Donovan Clingan S 24 7 15 0
Chris Youngblood 9 6 0 1
Sidy Cissoko S 28 5 2 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Nic Claxton · Layup (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Nic Claxton makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Donovan Clingan POR
12%
2 Deni Avdija POR
12%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
4 Jerami Grant POR
10%
5 Toumani Camara POR
9%
6 Shaedon Sharpe POR
9%
7 Jrue Holiday POR
8%
8 Sidy Cissoko POR
8%
9 Nolan Traore BKN
8%
10 Danny Wolf BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
23%
Jumper
29%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Deni Avdija POR 23.4 6.5 7.7
2 Shaedon Sharpe POR 22.6 4.3 3.4
3 Jerami Grant POR 18.3 3.9 2.5
4 Jrue Holiday POR 18.1 4.1 6.6
5 Donovan Clingan POR 16.9 11.2 2.5
6 Scoot Henderson POR 15.9 3.3 3.4
7 Toumani Camara POR 12.7 4.9 2.4
8 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.7 2.6 2.1
9 Ben Saraf BKN 10.2 2.5 4.0
10 Nolan Traore BKN 10.0 2.6 3.7
11 Danny Wolf BKN 9.8 5.7 2.3
12 Robert Williams III POR 9.4 9.7 1.1
13 Nic Claxton BKN 8.7 6.5 2.0
14 Josh Minott BKN 7.3 2.4 1.1
15 Chaney Johnson BKN 7.0 4.0 1.8
16 Malachi Smith BKN 6.7 2.6 2.3
17 Ochai Agbaji BKN 6.4 2.4 0.9
18 Tyson Etienne BKN 5.8 1.4 1.1
19 Kris Murray POR 5.5 3.0 1.3
20 Vit Krejci POR 5.3 3.0 1.4
21 Blake Wesley POR 5.0 1.5 1.5
22 Sidy Cissoko POR 5.0 2.1 1.2
23 Matisse Thybulle POR 4.9 2.2 1.1
24 Jalen Wilson BKN 4.3 1.5 0.5
25 E.J. Liddell BKN 4.2 2.6 1.1
26 Chris Youngblood POR 3.6 1.6 0.7
27 Yang Hansen POR 1.9 0.9 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.