NBA games

PHI @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
126–116
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI38263131126
UTAH34362422116

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home UTAH
32% 68%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Quentin Grimes S 36 25 5 4
VJ Edgecombe S 39 22 13 4
Trendon Watford 24 20 9 4
Adem Bona S 27 16 5 0
Cameron Payne 27 16 3 7
Justin Edwards S 25 8 0 1
Jabari Walker 18 8 5 3
MarJon Beauchamp 13 6 3 1
Andre Drummond 21 4 8 2
Dominick Barlow S 4 1 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ace Bailey S 33 25 7 4
Kennedy Chandler 37 19 5 4
Cody Williams S 35 15 0 3
Elijah Harkless S 36 15 4 5
Bez Mbeng S 45 13 6 7
Kyle Filipowski S 18 12 6 4
John Konchar 25 9 5 2
Oscar Tshiebwe 11 8 6 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Cody Williams · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:18 Q1
"Cody Williams makes 3-foot dunk (Elijah Harkless assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Isaiah Collier UTAH
14%
2 VJ Edgecombe PHI
12%
3 Quentin Grimes PHI
12%
4 Cody Williams UTAH
12%
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
11%
6 Dominick Barlow PHI
9%
7 Adem Bona PHI
8%
8 Ace Bailey UTAH
7%
9 Elijah Harkless UTAH
7%
10 Justin Edwards PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
26%
Layup
44%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Quentin Grimes PHI 21.3 4.6 3.7
2 VJ Edgecombe PHI 20.0 6.3 4.4
3 Isaiah Collier UTAH 18.6 3.5 6.6
4 Ace Bailey UTAH 17.9 4.5 2.4
5 Cody Williams UTAH 16.6 5.1 4.4
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 16.1 9.0 4.3
7 Justin Edwards PHI 12.3 3.2 2.8
8 Kennedy Chandler UTAH 11.2 2.5 3.9
9 Dominick Barlow PHI 10.1 4.9 1.5
10 Elijah Harkless UTAH 9.8 2.6 3.3
11 Cameron Payne PHI 9.4 2.9 2.7
12 Blake Hinson UTAH 8.6 2.6 1.2
13 Trendon Watford PHI 8.4 4.0 2.7
14 MarJon Beauchamp PHI 7.9 2.9 1.4
15 Bez Mbeng UTAH 7.3 3.7 3.6
16 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.2 2.0 1.3
17 Jabari Walker PHI 6.9 2.8 0.9
18 Adem Bona PHI 6.7 6.4 1.2
19 Andre Drummond PHI 6.5 7.3 1.9
20 Kevin Love UTAH 5.8 5.4 1.7
21 John Konchar UTAH 5.7 4.3 2.0
22 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 5.5 4.8 0.9
23 Dalen Terry PHI 5.1 2.0 1.7
24 Kyle Lowry PHI 2.8 1.5 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.