NBA games

NY @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
93–92
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY1430311893
BKN2228152792

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home BKN
85% 15%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 29 26 15 1
Jalen Brunson S 41 17 5 8
OG Anunoby S 35 16 3 1
Jordan Clarkson 22 9 1 2
Mikal Bridges S 36 9 7 2
Mohamed Diawara 19 8 7 5
Mitchell Robinson 24 3 10 0
Landry Shamet S 22 3 3 1
Jose Alvarado 13 2 1 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Josh Minott 26 22 5 2
Ziaire Williams S 25 17 4 1
Nolan Traore S 24 11 2 7
Ochai Agbaji 24 8 4 1
Danny Wolf S 24 8 6 2
Nic Claxton S 22 8 7 0
Malachi Smith 19 7 2 4
Ben Saraf 27 5 3 3
Chaney Johnson 24 4 4 6
Drake Powell S 25 2 3 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Nolan Traore · Jumper (2 pts) · 10:18 Q1
"Nolan Traore makes 6-foot running pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
17%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
12%
3 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
12%
4 Mikal Bridges NY
11%
5 Jose Alvarado NY
10%
6 OG Anunoby NY
10%
7 Nolan Traore BKN
10%
8 Danny Wolf BKN
9%
9 Drake Powell BKN
9%
10 Landry Shamet NY
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
47%
Layup
18%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 26.0 4.0 8.6
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 22.7 12.2 4.0
3 OG Anunoby NY 20.3 5.6 2.6
4 Danny Wolf BKN 11.2 6.0 3.0
5 Mikal Bridges NY 11.0 4.3 2.5
6 Landry Shamet NY 10.0 2.3 1.5
7 Nolan Traore BKN 9.7 2.2 3.7
8 Nic Claxton BKN 9.4 6.3 2.4
9 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.6 1.9 1.6
10 Jordan Clarkson NY 7.6 1.7 0.9
11 Ben Saraf BKN 7.4 1.5 3.6
12 Chaney Johnson BKN 6.6 4.0 1.4
13 Ochai Agbaji BKN 6.4 2.2 1.0
14 Josh Minott BKN 6.3 2.0 1.0
15 Mitchell Robinson NY 6.2 9.3 1.2
16 Drake Powell BKN 6.1 1.9 1.3
17 Mohamed Diawara NY 5.6 1.9 1.1
18 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.2 1.8 0.7
19 Jose Alvarado NY 4.8 1.2 3.7
20 Tyson Etienne BKN 4.7 1.2 1.0
21 Malachi Smith BKN 3.9 2.5 1.6
22 E.J. Liddell BKN 3.6 2.2 0.9
23 Tyler Kolek NY 3.1 1.0 1.7
24 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.9 1.2 0.7
25 Jeremy Sochan NY 2.4 1.6 0.6
26 Ariel Hukporti NY 1.7 2.0 0.4
27 Dillon Jones NY 1.5 1.2 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.