MIL @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
96–128
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 19 | 25 | 29 | 23 | 96 |
| UTAH | 30 | 34 | 30 | 34 | 128 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
UTAH
37%
63%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins S | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 |
| Cam Thomas | 23 | 14 | 2 | 4 |
| Ousmane Dieng S | 25 | 13 | 1 | 1 |
| Kyle Kuzma S | 19 | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 11 | 6 | 1 |
| Gary Harris | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 |
| Taurean Prince | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Cormac Ryan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Ryan Rollins ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:01 Q1
"Ryan Rollins makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
16%
2
Kyle Kuzma
MIL
13%
3
Kyle Filipowski
UTAH
12%
4
Ryan Rollins
MIL
11%
5
Cody Williams
UTAH
10%
6
Jericho Sims
MIL
10%
7
Ace Bailey
UTAH
10%
8
Myles Turner
MIL
8%
9
Taurean Prince
MIL
8%
10
Bobby Portis
MIL
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
11%
Jumper
26%
Layup
44%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 18.5 | 3.5 | 7.0 |
| 2 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 17.9 | 4.6 | 6.8 |
| 3 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 16.6 | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| 4 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 15.9 | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| 5 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 15.2 | 8.7 | 4.5 |
| 6 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 14.5 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
| 7 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 14.3 | 4.9 | 4.3 |
| 8 | Myles Turner | MIL | 10.3 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Ousmane Dieng | MIL | 10.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 9.4 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| 11 | Blake Hinson | UTAH | 8.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 12 | Andersson Garcia | UTAH | 8.0 | 7.3 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Bez Mbeng | UTAH | 7.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| 15 | AJ Green | MIL | 6.7 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 6.6 | 5.8 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 6.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| 18 | John Konchar | UTAH | 6.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 19 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 5.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Cam Thomas | MIL | 5.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Pete Nance | MIL | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Gary Harris | MIL | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.