LAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
99–105
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 26 | 26 | 32 | 15 | 99 |
| NO | 28 | 27 | 32 | 18 | 105 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
NO
41%
59%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 34 | 22 | 4 | 3 |
| John Collins S | 28 | 18 | 8 | 1 |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 27 | 16 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1 |
| Jordan Miller S | 37 | 11 | 8 | 5 |
| Kris Dunn S | 34 | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| Brook Lopez S | 29 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Kobe Sanders | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Cam Christie | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trey Murphy III ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Trey Murphy III makes 25-foot three point jumper (Saddiq Bey assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
24%
2
John Collins
LAC
15%
3
Saddiq Bey
NO
15%
4
Herbert Jones
NO
13%
5
Trey Murphy III
NO
12%
6
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
10%
7
Brook Lopez
LAC
10%
8
Jeremiah Fears
NO
0%
9
Kris Dunn
LAC
0%
10
Jordan Miller
LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
16%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
23%
Layup
37%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 21.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.9 |
| 3 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 18.6 | 5.3 | 2.9 |
| 4 | John Collins | LAC | 15.0 | 6.6 | 1.8 |
| 5 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 14.4 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 6 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 12.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.9 | 4.1 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 10.6 | 4.3 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Brook Lopez | LAC | 10.2 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Jordan Poole | NO | 9.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 11 | Derik Queen | NO | 9.0 | 4.7 | 2.8 |
| 12 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 7.8 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| 13 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 7.7 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Isaiah Jackson | LAC | 7.5 | 5.4 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Kobe Sanders | LAC | 6.8 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Bogdan Bogdanovic | LAC | 6.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.7 | 5.8 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Kevon Looney | NO | 4.3 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| 19 | DeAndre Jordan | NO | 4.0 | 5.6 | 0.6 |
| 20 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 3.9 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Cam Christie | LAC | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Norchad Omier | LAC | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| 24 | TyTy Washington Jr. | LAC | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 25 | Micah Peavy | NO | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.