LAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
109–124
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 40 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 109 |
| NO | 26 | 34 | 36 | 28 | 124 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
NO
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard S | 29 | 25 | 8 | 1 |
| John Collins S | 24 | 18 | 7 | 2 |
| Darius Garland S | 29 | 13 | 1 | 6 |
| Jordan Miller | 23 | 13 | 3 | 1 |
| Brook Lopez S | 31 | 11 | 5 | 4 |
| Isaiah Jackson | 19 | 10 | 6 | 1 |
| Kris Dunn | 26 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| Cam Christie | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 29 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Kobe Sanders | 15 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
John Collins ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:22 Q1
"John Collins makes dunk (Darius Garland assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
2
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
10%
3
John Collins
LAC
10%
4
Dejounte Murray
NO
10%
5
Saddiq Bey
NO
9%
6
Trey Murphy III
NO
9%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
8
Yves Missi
NO
7%
9
Brook Lopez
LAC
6%
10
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
32%
Jumper
15%
Layup
42%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 29.0 | 6.3 | 4.2 |
| 2 | Darius Garland | LAC | 22.9 | 2.9 | 6.9 |
| 3 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 22.5 | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| 4 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 21.3 | 4.9 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Zion Williamson | NO | 20.8 | 5.8 | 2.6 |
| 6 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 20.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 |
| 7 | John Collins | LAC | 15.1 | 6.6 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 14.4 | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| 9 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 12.4 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 10 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 11.8 | 4.4 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.9 | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| 12 | Brook Lopez | LAC | 10.3 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Jordan Poole | NO | 9.3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 8.3 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| 15 | Derik Queen | NO | 8.3 | 5.0 | 2.7 |
| 16 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 7.6 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Kobe Sanders | LAC | 7.2 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Isaiah Jackson | LAC | 6.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Yves Missi | NO | 5.8 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Bogdan Bogdanovic | LAC | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Kevon Looney | NO | 4.3 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| 22 | DeAndre Jordan | NO | 4.0 | 5.7 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Cam Christie | LAC | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Micah Peavy | NO | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.