NBA games

UTAH @ SAC

NBA Golden 1 Center ·Final
111–116
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH28213923111
SAC26283527116

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home SAC
24% 76%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cody Williams S 38 34 7 7
Brice Sensabaugh S 23 22 3 0
Isaiah Collier S 25 21 5 3
Elijah Harkless S 40 13 1 4
Oscar Tshiebwe 23 9 8 1
Blake Hinson 16 7 2 1
Andersson Garcia S 43 3 11 3
Bez Mbeng 33 2 3 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
DeMar DeRozan S 38 41 4 11
Precious Achiuwa S 33 20 11 1
Killian Hayes S 38 16 5 8
Daeqwon Plowden 31 10 4 2
Nique Clifford S 26 10 4 2
Doug McDermott 29 9 3 2
Maxime Raynaud S 29 8 12 1
Dylan Cardwell 16 2 7 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
DeMar DeRozan · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"DeMar DeRozan makes 11-foot turnaround jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Precious Achiuwa SAC
14%
2 Maxime Raynaud SAC
12%
3 DeMar DeRozan SAC
12%
4 Isaiah Collier UTAH
12%
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
10%
6 Cody Williams UTAH
9%
7 Keegan Murray SAC
8%
8 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
8%
9 Nique Clifford SAC
8%
10 John Konchar UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
34%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Isaiah Collier UTAH 20.3 3.1 6.9
2 DeMar DeRozan SAC 20.0 3.6 5.4
3 Precious Achiuwa SAC 18.3 10.4 2.3
4 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 18.0 3.7 2.8
5 Maxime Raynaud SAC 17.4 9.8 2.4
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 16.4 8.7 4.3
7 Nique Clifford SAC 15.1 5.7 4.7
8 Malik Monk SAC 13.1 2.2 3.3
9 Keegan Murray SAC 12.1 3.7 1.8
10 Daeqwon Plowden SAC 11.8 3.7 1.5
11 Cody Williams UTAH 10.9 4.0 3.3
12 Devin Carter SAC 10.9 3.7 3.2
13 Blake Hinson UTAH 7.8 2.2 0.9
14 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.4 2.0 1.3
15 Dylan Cardwell SAC 7.4 8.9 1.4
16 Elijah Harkless UTAH 7.3 2.2 2.9
17 John Konchar UTAH 5.8 4.0 1.8
18 Killian Hayes SAC 5.6 2.2 3.2
19 Kevin Love UTAH 5.2 5.3 1.5
20 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 4.8 3.7 0.9
21 Drew Eubanks SAC 4.5 4.1 0.8
22 Doug McDermott SAC 4.4 1.4 0.8
23 Mo Bamba UTAH 2.7 3.6 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.