NBA games

BKN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
97–104
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN1615254197
PHI29242427104

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home PHI
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Danny Wolf S 26 15 10 2
Josh Minott 22 14 2 0
Ben Saraf 31 12 4 5
Tyson Etienne 27 11 4 2
E.J. Liddell 11 10 2 3
Ziaire Williams S 21 9 1 1
Nolan Traore S 17 6 1 3
Chaney Johnson 24 6 10 1
Noah Clowney S 19 5 4 1
Terance Mann S 18 5 1 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Quentin Grimes S 34 28 8 4
Justin Edwards S 31 19 4 2
VJ Edgecombe S 35 16 4 7
Trendon Watford 18 10 5 3
Dominick Barlow S 33 10 8 2
Adem Bona S 33 9 10 0
Cameron Payne 23 6 3 1
MarJon Beauchamp 13 3 3 1
Dalen Terry 20 3 2 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
VJ Edgecombe · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"VJ Edgecombe makes running dunk (Dominick Barlow assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 VJ Edgecombe PHI
14%
2 Quentin Grimes PHI
12%
3 Trendon Watford PHI
10%
4 Dominick Barlow PHI
10%
5 Ben Saraf BKN
10%
6 Adem Bona PHI
10%
7 Nolan Traore BKN
9%
8 Danny Wolf BKN
9%
9 Justin Edwards PHI
8%
10 Noah Clowney BKN
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
37%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 VJ Edgecombe PHI 19.5 5.9 3.0
2 Quentin Grimes PHI 16.5 3.8 3.3
3 Noah Clowney BKN 12.4 3.9 1.8
4 Danny Wolf BKN 12.2 5.5 2.9
5 Nolan Traore BKN 11.3 2.6 4.3
6 Ziaire Williams BKN 10.6 2.6 1.8
7 MarJon Beauchamp PHI 10.4 3.2 2.0
8 Cameron Payne PHI 8.6 2.3 2.9
9 Dominick Barlow PHI 8.1 3.5 1.4
10 Terance Mann BKN 7.6 3.0 2.1
11 Ben Saraf BKN 7.1 1.9 3.7
12 Trendon Watford PHI 6.8 3.5 1.9
13 Dalen Terry PHI 6.7 2.7 2.4
14 Justin Edwards PHI 6.6 2.2 1.9
15 Adem Bona PHI 6.5 5.4 1.5
16 Ochai Agbaji BKN 5.6 1.9 0.9
17 Chaney Johnson BKN 5.2 1.8 1.2
18 Josh Minott BKN 5.0 2.1 0.9
19 Jalen Wilson BKN 5.0 1.8 0.8
20 Tyrese Martin PHI 4.3 1.9 1.3
21 Tyson Etienne BKN 3.7 1.1 0.9
22 Kyle Lowry PHI 3.4 1.3 1.1
23 E.J. Liddell BKN 3.4 2.0 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.