NBA games

NY @ IND

NBA Gainbridge Fieldhouse ·Final
101–92
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY24322025101
IND2124291892

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home IND
35% 65%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 37 29 5 9
OG Anunoby S 34 25 8 5
Mitchell Robinson S 31 12 22 0
Mikal Bridges S 30 11 4 0
Landry Shamet S 37 9 5 0
Jordan Clarkson 19 8 2 2
Mohamed Diawara 20 4 5 1
Pacome Dadiet 6 3 1 0
Ariel Hukporti 14 0 1 1
Jose Alvarado 13 0 0 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jarace Walker S 38 18 9 3
Aaron Nesmith S 34 12 2 2
Ivica Zubac S 29 11 8 1
T.J. McConnell 20 10 3 6
Obi Toppin 16 9 4 1
Jay Huff 16 9 4 0
Andrew Nembhard S 32 8 5 7
Kobe Brown S 30 8 7 0
Ben Sheppard 21 5 3 1
Micah Potter 4 2 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jalen Brunson · Jumper (2 pts) · 10:28 Q1
"Jalen Brunson makes 9-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
15%
2 Jarace Walker IND
11%
3 Andrew Nembhard IND
11%
4 Ivica Zubac IND
10%
5 Aaron Nesmith IND
10%
6 OG Anunoby NY
9%
7 Mikal Bridges NY
9%
8 Landry Shamet NY
9%
9 Obi Toppin IND
8%
10 Kobe Brown IND
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
40%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 25.6 4.1 9.1
2 OG Anunoby NY 18.0 5.0 2.4
3 Andrew Nembhard IND 17.6 2.6 6.1
4 Jarace Walker IND 14.1 6.6 3.7
5 Mikal Bridges NY 12.5 4.3 3.5
6 Jay Huff IND 12.2 4.4 1.9
7 Ivica Zubac IND 12.0 10.3 1.6
8 Aaron Nesmith IND 11.7 3.2 1.6
9 Micah Potter IND 11.6 5.1 1.7
10 Landry Shamet NY 10.7 2.2 1.9
11 Kam Jones IND 9.0 2.4 4.9
12 Kobe Brown IND 8.9 4.0 1.4
13 Ben Sheppard IND 8.3 2.8 1.8
14 T.J. McConnell IND 7.6 2.1 3.9
15 Obi Toppin IND 6.8 3.5 1.4
16 Mohamed Diawara NY 6.7 2.0 1.2
17 Mitchell Robinson NY 6.4 7.8 1.0
18 Jordan Clarkson NY 5.9 2.0 1.2
19 Jose Alvarado NY 5.2 2.2 3.3
20 Tyler Kolek NY 3.8 1.5 1.8
21 Pacome Dadiet NY 3.4 1.5 0.8
22 Kevin McCullar Jr. NY 2.9 1.9 0.9
23 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.6 3.2 0.7
24 Dillon Jones NY 1.8 1.2 0.6
25 Trey Jemison III NY 1.7 1.6 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.