NBA games

NY @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
134117
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY26304038134
UTAH41242923117

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home UTAH
82% 18%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 33 28 4 8
Jordan Clarkson 26 27 5 3
OG Anunoby S 31 22 2 1
Karl-Anthony Towns S 30 21 7 7
Mohamed Diawara 15 10 1 1
Landry Shamet S 31 7 3 4
Mitchell Robinson 22 6 13 3
Mikal Bridges S 27 5 5 2
Jeremy Sochan 3 4 1 0
Jose Alvarado 15 4 2 7
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Brice Sensabaugh S 30 29 5 5
Ace Bailey S 36 21 4 2
Kyle Filipowski S 28 15 7 5
Keyonte George S 20 14 2 5
Cody Williams S 38 10 2 5
Isaiah Collier 19 9 2 5
Andersson Garcia 25 6 9 0
Kevin Love 10 6 6 2
Elijah Harkless 20 5 0 0
Oscar Tshiebwe 15 2 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Mikal Bridges · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 24-foot three point jumper (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
15%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
14%
3 Isaiah Collier UTAH
12%
4 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
10%
5 Ace Bailey UTAH
9%
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
9%
7 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
8%
8 Cody Williams UTAH
8%
9 OG Anunoby NY
7%
10 Mikal Bridges NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
33%
Layup
36%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 23.9 4.1 8.7
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 22.8 12.0 3.4
3 Keyonte George UTAH 20.9 3.3 4.2
4 Isaiah Collier UTAH 19.4 2.7 7.2
5 OG Anunoby NY 17.9 5.0 2.5
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 17.1 8.5 3.9
7 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 14.9 3.4 2.1
8 Ace Bailey UTAH 14.9 4.8 2.1
9 Mikal Bridges NY 13.0 4.3 3.8
10 Landry Shamet NY 11.6 2.2 1.7
11 Cody Williams UTAH 9.1 3.8 2.7
12 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.0 1.9 1.2
13 Mohamed Diawara NY 6.2 2.1 1.2
14 Mitchell Robinson NY 6.1 6.9 0.8
15 Elijah Harkless UTAH 5.8 1.6 2.5
16 Kevin Love UTAH 5.7 5.4 1.6
17 Jose Alvarado NY 5.5 2.1 3.2
18 Jordan Clarkson NY 5.1 1.7 1.0
19 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 4.1 3.8 0.7
20 Tyler Kolek NY 4.0 1.5 2.1
21 Ariel Hukporti NY 3.2 3.0 0.7
22 Mo Bamba UTAH 2.5 4.0 0.3
23 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.4 1.0 0.6
24 Kevin McCullar Jr. NY 2.0 0.9 0.6
25 Jeremy Sochan NY 1.8 1.2 0.5
26 Trey Jemison III NY 1.6 1.3 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.