CHA @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
103–101
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA | 20 | 26 | 32 | 25 | 103 |
| POR | 34 | 21 | 27 | 19 | 101 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA
away
home
POR
75%
25%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller S | 37 | 23 | 9 | 4 |
| Kon Knueppel S | 36 | 15 | 4 | 2 |
| LaMelo Ball S | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 17 | 13 | 6 | 1 |
| Sion James | 24 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
| Miles Bridges S | 33 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
| Moussa Diabate S | 31 | 7 | 9 | 4 |
| Josh Green | 21 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Pat Connaughton | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Grant Williams | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Kon Knueppel ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:31 Q1
"Kon Knueppel makes 27-foot three point jumper (LaMelo Ball assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
LaMelo Ball
CHA
13%
2
Jrue Holiday
POR
13%
3
Jerami Grant
POR
12%
4
Miles Bridges
CHA
10%
5
Donovan Clingan
POR
10%
6
Deni Avdija
POR
10%
7
Moussa Diabate
CHA
9%
8
Kon Knueppel
CHA
8%
9
Toumani Camara
POR
7%
10
Brandon Miller
CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
29%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
28%
Layup
36%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Miller | CHA | 23.1 | 6.3 | 4.4 |
| 2 | LaMelo Ball | CHA | 21.6 | 4.8 | 6.8 |
| 3 | Jrue Holiday | POR | 21.5 | 4.6 | 6.0 |
| 4 | Kon Knueppel | CHA | 21.1 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| 5 | Jerami Grant | POR | 17.7 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| 6 | Miles Bridges | CHA | 14.2 | 5.0 | 3.1 |
| 7 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 13.9 | 10.3 | 2.8 |
| 8 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 13.3 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Deni Avdija | POR | 12.4 | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| 10 | Toumani Camara | POR | 11.7 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| 11 | Grant Williams | CHA | 9.9 | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 12 | Moussa Diabate | CHA | 9.6 | 10.0 | 2.6 |
| 13 | Robert Williams III | POR | 8.6 | 7.0 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Vit Krejci | POR | 6.9 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Josh Green | CHA | 6.3 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Ryan Kalkbrenner | CHA | 6.2 | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Kris Murray | POR | 6.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Sion James | CHA | 5.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 19 | Blake Wesley | POR | 4.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 20 | Matisse Thybulle | POR | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Pat Connaughton | CHA | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Sidy Cissoko | POR | 3.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Tre Mann | CHA | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Chris Youngblood | POR | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Xavier Tillman | CHA | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.