BOS @ SA
NBA
Frost Bank Center
·Final
116–125
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 31 | 27 | 32 | 26 | 116 |
| SA | 29 | 29 | 39 | 28 | 125 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SA) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
SA
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White S | 40 | 34 | 5 | 7 |
| Jayson Tatum S | 27 | 24 | 5 | 2 |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 33 | 22 | 3 | 2 |
| Sam Hauser S | 34 | 11 | 7 | 3 |
| Jaylen Brown S | 15 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| Baylor Scheierman | 35 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| Neemias Queta S | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Luka Garza | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Jordan Walsh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Victor Wembanyama ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:18 Q1
"Victor Wembanyama makes layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Stephon Castle
SA
13%
2
Victor Wembanyama
SA
12%
3
Jaylen Brown
BOS
12%
4
De'Aaron Fox
SA
12%
5
Neemias Queta
BOS
11%
6
Devin Vassell
SA
9%
7
Derrick White
BOS
9%
8
Mason Plumlee
SA
9%
9
Julian Champagnie
SA
7%
10
Sam Hauser
BOS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
14%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
27%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victor Wembanyama | SA | 27.1 | 10.4 | 3.9 |
| 2 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 22.4 | 7.8 | 6.2 |
| 3 | Derrick White | BOS | 18.2 | 4.7 | 6.0 |
| 4 | De'Aaron Fox | SA | 17.3 | 3.3 | 6.1 |
| 5 | Stephon Castle | SA | 16.8 | 4.0 | 6.3 |
| 6 | Devin Vassell | SA | 13.9 | 4.2 | 2.8 |
| 7 | Dylan Harper | SA | 13.2 | 3.0 | 4.0 |
| 8 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 11.4 | 5.2 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 10.6 | 9.1 | 1.2 |
| 10 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 9.5 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 |
| 13 | Hugo Gonzalez | BOS | 5.8 | 4.1 | 0.9 |
| 14 | Carter Bryant | SA | 4.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 15 | Luke Kornet | SA | 4.7 | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Luka Garza | BOS | 4.3 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 17 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| 18 | Jordan McLaughlin | SA | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Ron Harper Jr. | BOS | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 20 | Kelly Olynyk | SA | 3.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Mason Plumlee | SA | 3.1 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 22 | Bismack Biyombo | SA | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 23 | Amari Williams | BOS | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Max Shulga | BOS | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.