NO @ SAC
NBA
Golden 1 Center
·Final
133–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 26 | 41 | 38 | 28 | 133 |
| SAC | 30 | 33 | 28 | 32 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
SAC
73%
27%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 29 | 23 | 9 | 5 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 33 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| Bryce McGowens | 27 | 14 | 6 | 2 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 28 | 13 | 6 | 6 |
| Herbert Jones S | 24 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
| Derik Queen | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 25 | 9 | 9 | 2 |
| Yves Missi S | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Micah Peavy | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
DeMar DeRozan ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"DeMar DeRozan makes 17-foot jumper (Nique Clifford assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Saddiq Bey
NO
14%
2
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
13%
3
Maxime Raynaud
SAC
13%
4
Trey Murphy III
NO
12%
5
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
6
Russell Westbrook
SAC
11%
7
Precious Achiuwa
SAC
9%
8
Nique Clifford
SAC
9%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
Jeremiah Fears
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
29%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
25%
Layup
30%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.7 | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| 2 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 23.2 | 5.9 | 4.2 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 22.4 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| 4 | Russell Westbrook | SAC | 16.8 | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Maxime Raynaud | SAC | 16.5 | 10.9 | 2.1 |
| 6 | Nique Clifford | SAC | 15.6 | 5.7 | 4.3 |
| 7 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 15.4 | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| 8 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 15.2 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| 9 | Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 13.1 | 7.9 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Derik Queen | NO | 12.4 | 6.7 | 2.2 |
| 11 | Malik Monk | SAC | 11.7 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| 12 | Devin Carter | SAC | 11.5 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 13 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 10.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| 14 | Herbert Jones | NO | 9.5 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| 15 | Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 9.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Jordan Poole | NO | 9.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 17 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 6.5 | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Yves Missi | NO | 6.1 | 5.0 | 1.1 |
| 19 | DeAndre Jordan | NO | 5.9 | 6.4 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Killian Hayes | SAC | 4.5 | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| 21 | Drew Eubanks | SAC | 4.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.7 | 5.5 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Patrick Baldwin Jr. | SAC | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Micah Peavy | NO | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.