NBA games

UTAH @ WSH

NBA Capital One Arena ·Final
122–112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH37302629122
WSH23263528112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (WSH) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home WSH
45% 55%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ace Bailey S 33 32 2 0
Isaiah Collier S 29 27 3 11
Kyle Filipowski S 31 20 14 3
Brice Sensabaugh 24 14 1 4
Cody Williams S 36 13 3 7
Blake Hinson 22 10 4 0
Mo Bamba 17 6 12 0
Elijah Harkless 12 0 1 2
John Konchar S 37 0 5 4
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Julian Reese S 38 18 20 2
Bilal Coulibaly S 34 17 3 2
Leaky Black S 39 16 3 1
Tre Johnson S 20 15 8 2
Will Riley 25 13 2 3
Trae Young S 19 12 2 6
Anthony Gill 34 10 3 1
Bub Carrington 15 7 1 2
Jaden Hardy 11 4 1 1
Sharife Cooper 4 0 0 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Isaiah Collier · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Isaiah Collier makes 15-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Trae Young WSH
15%
2 Tre Johnson WSH
13%
3 Ace Bailey UTAH
13%
4 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
11%
5 Elijah Harkless UTAH
10%
6 Cody Williams UTAH
9%
7 Will Riley WSH
9%
8 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
9%
9 Bub Carrington WSH
9%
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
33%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Trae Young WSH 22.6 2.5 9.0
2 Isaiah Collier UTAH 19.0 3.3 7.8
3 Ace Bailey UTAH 16.0 5.9 2.5
4 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 14.7 3.7 2.1
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 14.3 7.3 3.2
6 Will Riley WSH 13.2 3.7 2.6
7 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 13.0 4.4 2.5
8 Justin Champagnie WSH 12.0 5.8 1.6
9 Jamir Watkins WSH 11.8 3.9 1.6
10 Jaden Hardy WSH 10.8 2.5 1.4
11 Bub Carrington WSH 10.8 4.2 5.0
12 Sharife Cooper WSH 10.7 2.8 3.6
13 Tre Johnson WSH 9.7 3.0 2.0
14 Anthony Gill WSH 9.4 4.2 2.4
15 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.1 2.5 1.7
16 Blake Hinson UTAH 8.5 2.7 1.0
17 Cody Williams UTAH 6.7 3.6 1.6
18 John Konchar UTAH 5.9 4.0 1.9
19 Kevin Love UTAH 5.4 5.6 1.6
20 Elijah Harkless UTAH 5.3 1.9 1.8
21 Mo Bamba UTAH 4.1 3.5 0.7
22 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 3.9 3.8 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.