IND @ LAC
NBA
Intuit Dome
·Final
107–130
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 25 | 26 | 26 | 30 | 107 |
| LAC | 42 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 130 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (IND) games this season
IND
away
home
LAC
38%
62%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam S | 30 | 29 | 5 | 1 |
| Jay Huff S | 25 | 18 | 5 | 1 |
| Jarace Walker S | 31 | 17 | 5 | 5 |
| Quenton Jackson | 18 | 11 | 1 | 3 |
| Micah Potter | 24 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| Andrew Nembhard S | 24 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Kobe Brown | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Ben Sheppard | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Aaron Nesmith S | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jay Huff ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Jay Huff makes 3-foot driving dunk (Andrew Nembhard assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
10%
2
Pascal Siakam
IND
10%
3
Andrew Nembhard
IND
9%
4
Jarace Walker
IND
9%
5
Aaron Nesmith
IND
8%
6
Kris Dunn
LAC
7%
7
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
7%
8
Brook Lopez
LAC
7%
9
Jay Huff
IND
7%
10
Kam Jones
IND
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
20%
Jumper
35%
Layup
21%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 23.7 | 6.0 | 4.6 |
| 2 | Darius Garland | LAC | 21.6 | 3.0 | 7.2 |
| 3 | Bennedict Mathurin | LAC | 21.1 | 6.4 | 3.8 |
| 4 | Pascal Siakam | IND | 20.8 | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| 5 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 19.5 | 3.2 | 6.9 |
| 6 | Jarace Walker | IND | 19.3 | 7.6 | 4.0 |
| 7 | Micah Potter | IND | 13.3 | 5.7 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 12.5 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 11.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 11.5 | 4.3 | 5.9 |
| 11 | Brook Lopez | LAC | 11.2 | 5.2 | 2.0 |
| 12 | Jay Huff | IND | 11.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Quenton Jackson | IND | 10.8 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 9.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| 15 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 9.3 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 16 | Kobe Brown | IND | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Kam Jones | IND | 8.4 | 2.2 | 3.6 |
| 18 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 7.8 | 2.0 | 4.0 |
| 19 | Obi Toppin | IND | 7.5 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
| 20 | Kobe Sanders | LAC | 7.4 | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| 21 | Yanic Konan Niederhauser | LAC | 6.2 | 5.2 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Bogdan Bogdanovic | LAC | 5.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| 23 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.2 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 24 | TyTy Washington Jr. | LAC | 3.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| 25 | Cam Christie | LAC | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Isaiah Jackson | LAC | 3.2 | 3.8 | 0.9 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.