NBA games

UTAH @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
102–106
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH22263519102
PHI29242924106

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home PHI
50% 50%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 30 30 4 2
Isaiah Collier 26 18 0 5
Ace Bailey S 31 12 2 3
Blake Hinson 19 11 1 0
Cody Williams S 28 9 6 3
Brice Sensabaugh 20 7 2 2
Kyle Filipowski S 22 6 11 3
Mo Bamba 21 4 8 1
Elijah Harkless S 20 3 3 0
Oscar Tshiebwe 5 2 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 38 25 2 6
Jabari Walker 28 22 10 2
Quentin Grimes S 31 16 5 2
Adem Bona S 29 12 5 1
Tyrese Martin 19 8 2 2
Trendon Watford S 22 7 7 3
Dominick Barlow S 25 7 4 1
Justin Edwards 15 5 2 4
Kyle Lowry 9 2 2 1
Andre Drummond 13 2 3 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Maxey · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 31-foot running jump shot (Trendon Watford assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
15%
2 Ace Bailey UTAH
11%
3 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
11%
4 Keyonte George UTAH
10%
5 Dominick Barlow PHI
10%
6 Cody Williams UTAH
9%
7 Elijah Harkless UTAH
9%
8 Andre Drummond PHI
9%
9 Quentin Grimes PHI
8%
10 Blake Hinson UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
38%
Layup
19%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Keyonte George UTAH 25.2 3.5 5.5
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 24.1 4.5 5.5
3 Isaiah Collier UTAH 20.3 3.8 8.8
4 Ace Bailey UTAH 16.3 6.1 2.4
5 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 16.2 3.8 2.1
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 14.8 7.6 2.9
7 Quentin Grimes PHI 11.1 3.0 2.6
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.2 2.6 1.7
9 Dominick Barlow PHI 7.9 3.9 1.1
10 Blake Hinson UTAH 7.8 2.7 0.9
11 Andre Drummond PHI 6.8 7.0 1.7
12 Trendon Watford PHI 6.8 3.4 2.2
13 Cody Williams UTAH 6.6 3.8 1.6
14 John Konchar UTAH 6.5 4.1 1.9
15 Adem Bona PHI 6.2 5.3 1.2
16 Kevin Love UTAH 5.7 5.7 1.8
17 Cameron Payne PHI 5.5 1.5 1.9
18 Elijah Harkless UTAH 5.4 1.6 2.1
19 Tyrese Martin PHI 5.1 2.2 1.0
20 Dalen Terry PHI 5.0 2.4 1.7
21 Justin Edwards PHI 4.8 1.6 1.0
22 Jabari Walker PHI 4.0 2.3 0.8
23 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 3.8 3.8 0.8
24 Mo Bamba UTAH 3.6 2.1 0.8
25 Kyle Lowry PHI 1.7 0.6 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.