NBA games

PHX @ SAC

NBA Golden 1 Center ·Final
114–103
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHX22373124114
SAC30252028103

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX away
home SAC
77% 23%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Green S 31 20 4 1
Grayson Allen 25 18 3 6
Devin Booker S 31 17 4 6
Collin Gillespie S 31 17 5 9
Oso Ighodaro 26 14 14 3
Mark Williams S 22 10 9 0
Rasheer Fleming 15 8 6 1
Royce O'Neale S 29 6 4 5
Amir Coffey 12 2 3 0
Ryan Dunn 17 2 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Maxime Raynaud S 36 22 10 4
Precious Achiuwa S 39 18 9 1
DeMar DeRozan S 34 17 2 1
Russell Westbrook S 31 16 2 7
Malik Monk 18 13 3 5
Nique Clifford S 39 10 8 4
Killian Hayes 10 3 0 2
Devin Carter 9 2 2 0
Daeqwon Plowden 21 2 4 1
Drew Eubanks 3 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Collin Gillespie · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"Collin Gillespie makes 26-foot three pointer (Devin Booker assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Maxime Raynaud SAC
13%
2 Russell Westbrook SAC
11%
3 Devin Booker PHX
11%
4 Mark Williams PHX
10%
5 Nique Clifford SAC
9%
6 DeMar DeRozan SAC
9%
7 Precious Achiuwa SAC
9%
8 Royce O'Neale PHX
8%
9 Jalen Green PHX
7%
10 Collin Gillespie PHX
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
36%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
25%
Layup
30%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Grayson Allen PHX 21.4 3.8 5.0
2 Devin Booker PHX 17.5 3.3 3.8
3 Russell Westbrook SAC 16.2 3.4 4.8
4 Nique Clifford SAC 15.8 5.1 4.3
5 Maxime Raynaud SAC 14.8 10.5 1.8
6 Collin Gillespie PHX 14.7 3.8 5.1
7 DeMar DeRozan SAC 13.4 3.2 3.8
8 Jalen Green PHX 12.6 3.3 2.5
9 Devin Carter SAC 11.9 4.1 3.6
10 Precious Achiuwa SAC 11.7 7.3 1.7
11 Malik Monk SAC 11.0 2.1 2.9
12 Royce O'Neale PHX 10.0 4.9 1.9
13 Daeqwon Plowden SAC 9.5 3.2 1.5
14 Mark Williams PHX 8.8 7.8 0.8
15 Oso Ighodaro PHX 7.9 5.0 2.9
16 Dylan Cardwell SAC 6.0 8.1 1.1
17 Ryan Dunn PHX 5.5 3.3 1.0
18 Amir Coffey PHX 5.0 1.8 1.1
19 Drew Eubanks SAC 4.4 3.0 0.8
20 Killian Hayes SAC 4.0 1.3 2.2
21 Jamaree Bouyea PHX 3.9 1.7 1.5
22 Rasheer Fleming PHX 3.4 1.7 0.5
23 Doug McDermott SAC 2.9 0.7 0.5
24 Khaman Maluach PHX 2.5 2.1 0.3
25 Isaiah Livers PHX 2.1 1.3 0.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.