OKC @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
100–87
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 36 | 22 | 25 | 17 | 100 |
| DAL | 25 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 87 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC
away
home
DAL
88%
12%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S | 33 | 30 | 4 | 5 |
| Chet Holmgren S | 28 | 19 | 9 | 1 |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| Jared McCain | 22 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein S | 25 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 15 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Luguentz Dort S | 21 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Cason Wallace S | 30 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| Alex Caruso | 22 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Jaylin Williams | 17 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Daniel Gafford ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"Daniel Gafford makes alley oop layup (Brandon Williams assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Naji Marshall
DAL
12%
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
12%
3
Cason Wallace
OKC
9%
4
Daniel Gafford
DAL
9%
5
Isaiah Hartenstein
OKC
8%
6
Brandon Williams
DAL
8%
7
Max Christie
DAL
8%
8
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
9
P.J. Washington
DAL
8%
10
Khris Middleton
DAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
27%
Layup
40%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 31.8 | 4.8 | 8.3 |
| 2 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 20.7 | 5.0 | 4.2 |
| 3 | Cason Wallace | OKC | 16.4 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
| 4 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 16.0 | 3.4 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Khris Middleton | DAL | 14.1 | 4.0 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 13.9 | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| 7 | Max Christie | DAL | 13.8 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| 8 | P.J. Washington | DAL | 13.8 | 6.2 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 12.5 | 5.6 | 2.9 |
| 10 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 10.8 | 8.3 | 2.2 |
| 11 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 10.8 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 12 | Isaiah Hartenstein | OKC | 10.4 | 7.9 | 4.9 |
| 13 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 10.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 14 | Daniel Gafford | DAL | 9.8 | 7.2 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Klay Thompson | DAL | 9.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Jared McCain | OKC | 9.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Alex Caruso | OKC | 7.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 19 | Caleb Martin | DAL | 7.1 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 20 | AJ Johnson | DAL | 5.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Moussa Cisse | DAL | 5.7 | 6.4 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Ryan Nembhard | DAL | 3.9 | 1.1 | 3.6 |
| 23 | Buddy Boeheim | OKC | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Dwight Powell | DAL | 3.2 | 2.4 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.