NBA games

NO @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
115105
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NO27382426115
UTAH22183332105

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO away
home UTAH
55% 45%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Saddiq Bey S 39 24 5 6
Bryce McGowens S 33 18 4 2
Jeremiah Fears 34 18 11 5
Herbert Jones S 36 17 8 7
Jordan Poole 15 11 3 1
Karlo Matkovic 25 8 6 5
Derik Queen 19 7 9 3
Yves Missi 12 5 3 1
Zion Williamson S 11 4 1 2
DeAndre Jordan S 13 3 7 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Isaiah Collier 33 21 3 7
Keyonte George S 23 17 2 4
Elijah Harkless 28 14 3 5
Ace Bailey S 30 13 8 2
Kyle Filipowski S 29 12 6 1
Brice Sensabaugh 26 10 4 1
Blake Hinson S 16 8 5 0
Cody Williams S 21 4 2 2
John Konchar 15 3 2 0
Kevin Love 9 3 2 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
DeAndre Jordan · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"DeAndre Jordan makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Isaiah Collier UTAH
16%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
12%
3 Ace Bailey UTAH
11%
4 Zion Williamson NO
11%
5 Saddiq Bey NO
10%
6 John Konchar UTAH
8%
7 Cody Williams UTAH
8%
8 DeAndre Jordan NO
8%
9 Herbert Jones NO
8%
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
24%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Keyonte George UTAH 23.4 3.3 5.3
2 Zion Williamson NO 23.4 5.8 4.2
3 Saddiq Bey NO 23.2 5.5 4.0
4 Isaiah Collier UTAH 20.9 5.0 9.8
5 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 16.3 3.4 2.3
6 Ace Bailey UTAH 15.8 6.3 2.4
7 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 13.8 8.0 2.8
8 Jeremiah Fears NO 12.7 4.2 4.3
9 Derik Queen NO 12.5 6.8 2.5
10 Jordan Poole NO 9.8 2.9 2.6
11 Herbert Jones NO 9.7 3.4 3.8
12 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.8 2.3 1.7
13 Blake Hinson UTAH 8.6 2.2 1.1
14 Bryce McGowens NO 8.5 2.4 1.6
15 Cody Williams UTAH 7.5 3.8 1.5
16 Kevin Love UTAH 6.8 6.1 1.9
17 Karlo Matkovic NO 6.3 4.1 1.0
18 John Konchar UTAH 6.2 4.4 2.0
19 DeAndre Jordan NO 6.1 7.5 0.9
20 Yves Missi NO 5.3 5.5 1.1
21 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 3.7 3.2 0.8
22 Elijah Harkless UTAH 3.7 1.5 1.4
23 Mo Bamba UTAH 3.6 2.1 0.8
24 Kevon Looney NO 3.2 5.5 0.9
25 Jordan Hawkins NO 3.1 1.7 0.5
26 Micah Peavy NO 3.1 1.2 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.