BOS @ DEN
NBA
Ball Arena
·Final
84–103
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 24 | 24 | 19 | 17 | 84 |
| DEN | 21 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 103 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DEN) / 10 (BOS) games this season
BOS
away
home
DEN
6%
94%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown S | 34 | 23 | 11 | 3 |
| Derrick White S | 33 | 20 | 6 | 3 |
| Neemias Queta S | 28 | 10 | 4 | 1 |
| Baylor Scheierman S | 25 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| Sam Hauser S | 24 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Hugo Gonzalez | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Jordan Walsh | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Payton Pritchard | 28 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Nikola Vucevic | 23 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jamal Murray ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 10:54 Q1
"Jamal Murray makes 2-foot dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jamal Murray
DEN
15%
2
Jaylen Brown
BOS
15%
3
Nikola Jokic
DEN
10%
4
Neemias Queta
BOS
10%
5
Christian Braun
DEN
8%
6
Sam Hauser
BOS
8%
7
Julian Strawther
DEN
8%
8
Derrick White
BOS
8%
9
Cameron Johnson
DEN
7%
10
Ron Harper Jr.
BOS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
18%
Layup
34%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nikola Jokic | DEN | 25.5 | 11.8 | 9.2 |
| 2 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 23.2 | 6.5 | 4.1 |
| 3 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 22.3 | 3.9 | 6.5 |
| 4 | Jamal Murray | DEN | 21.5 | 4.3 | 6.4 |
| 5 | Derrick White | BOS | 16.7 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
| 6 | Nikola Vucevic | BOS | 14.7 | 7.3 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Cameron Johnson | DEN | 11.6 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 8 | Julian Strawther | DEN | 11.6 | 3.9 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DEN | 11.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 10 | Christian Braun | DEN | 10.6 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 11 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 10.1 | 9.3 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 10.0 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Bruce Brown | DEN | 9.3 | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Baylor Scheierman | BOS | 9.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Jonas Valanciunas | DEN | 7.6 | 4.7 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Spencer Jones | DEN | 5.7 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Luka Garza | BOS | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 5.2 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| 19 | KJ Simpson | DEN | 5.2 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 20 | Ron Harper Jr. | BOS | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Hugo Gonzalez | BOS | 3.8 | 3.1 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Dalano Banton | BOS | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 23 | DaRon Holmes II | DEN | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Zeke Nnaji | DEN | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.4 |
| 25 | John Tonje | BOS | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.