SAC @ HOU
NBA
Toyota Center (Houston)
·Final
97–128
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 22 | 28 | 26 | 21 | 97 |
| HOU | 33 | 44 | 31 | 20 | 128 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (HOU) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
HOU
31%
69%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook S | 25 | 22 | 5 | 3 |
| DeMar DeRozan S | 24 | 15 | 1 | 7 |
| Nique Clifford | 29 | 15 | 2 | 1 |
| Maxime Raynaud S | 29 | 11 | 8 | 2 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Malik Monk | 19 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Precious Achiuwa S | 30 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Keegan Murray S | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Killian Hayes | 20 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Russell Westbrook ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:12 Q1
"Russell Westbrook makes 8-foot fade away jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
16%
2
Kevin Durant
HOU
13%
3
Keegan Murray
SAC
12%
4
Jabari Smith Jr.
HOU
10%
5
Precious Achiuwa
SAC
10%
6
Maxime Raynaud
SAC
10%
7
Tari Eason
HOU
10%
8
Alperen Sengun
HOU
10%
9
Russell Westbrook
SAC
8%
10
Reed Sheppard
HOU
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
25%
Layup
36%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Durant | HOU | 22.0 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| 2 | Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | 18.1 | 7.2 | 1.9 |
| 3 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 16.4 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 4 | Malik Monk | SAC | 14.4 | 2.4 | 3.6 |
| 5 | Alperen Sengun | HOU | 14.1 | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| 6 | Russell Westbrook | SAC | 13.8 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| 7 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 13.5 | 4.8 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Nique Clifford | SAC | 13.1 | 4.1 | 3.8 |
| 9 | Reed Sheppard | HOU | 13.0 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 10 | Tari Eason | HOU | 12.7 | 6.3 | 2.1 |
| 11 | Maxime Raynaud | SAC | 12.2 | 9.8 | 1.6 |
| 12 | Devin Carter | SAC | 8.8 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 8.4 | 5.8 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Dorian Finney-Smith | HOU | 5.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Josh Okogie | HOU | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Isaiah Crawford | HOU | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 18 | Aaron Holiday | HOU | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Clint Capela | HOU | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| 20 | Killian Hayes | SAC | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 21 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 3.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Jeff Green | HOU | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 23 | JD Davison | HOU | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Drew Eubanks | SAC | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 25 | Patrick Baldwin Jr. | SAC | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.