TOR @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
122–94
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 22 | 38 | 32 | 30 | 122 |
| MIL | 27 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 94 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (TOR) games this season
TOR
away
home
MIL
45%
55%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immanuel Quickley S | 31 | 32 | 3 | 9 |
| Brandon Ingram S | 31 | 22 | 2 | 6 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 |
| Jamal Shead | 23 | 12 | 6 | 6 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter S | 30 | 9 | 6 | 3 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 20 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| RJ Barrett S | 27 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Jakob Poeltl S | 26 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Jamison Battle | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Gradey Dick | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
RJ Barrett ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"RJ Barrett makes layup (Ja'Kobe Walter assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kevin Porter Jr.
MIL
13%
2
Kyle Kuzma
MIL
12%
3
Myles Turner
MIL
11%
4
RJ Barrett
TOR
11%
5
Collin Murray-Boyles
TOR
10%
6
Brandon Ingram
TOR
9%
7
Immanuel Quickley
TOR
9%
8
Jericho Sims
MIL
9%
9
Ryan Rollins
MIL
8%
10
AJ Green
MIL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
25%
Layup
35%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 22.2 | 4.7 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Brandon Ingram | TOR | 20.1 | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| 3 | Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 18.2 | 4.7 | 5.2 |
| 4 | Kevin Porter Jr. | MIL | 18.2 | 5.3 | 7.0 |
| 5 | RJ Barrett | TOR | 17.4 | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| 6 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 16.4 | 6.6 | 4.7 |
| 7 | Myles Turner | MIL | 14.3 | 7.7 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Cam Thomas | MIL | 14.3 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 9 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 14.1 | 7.4 | 2.7 |
| 10 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | TOR | 12.7 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 11 | Collin Murray-Boyles | TOR | 10.3 | 5.5 | 2.4 |
| 12 | AJ Green | MIL | 10.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Jakob Poeltl | TOR | 8.4 | 6.3 | 2.4 |
| 14 | Pete Nance | MIL | 7.9 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 6.3 | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| 17 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 6.2 | 5.8 | 1.4 |
| 18 | Ousmane Dieng | MIL | 6.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 5.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Gary Harris | MIL | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Thanasis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | TOR | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Garrett Temple | TOR | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.