NBA games

BKN @ OKC

NBA Paycom Center ·Final
86–105
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2310341986
OKC21292728105

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home OKC
16% 84%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Michael Porter Jr. S 38 22 9 5
Nolan Traore S 27 17 1 3
Day'Ron Sharpe S 27 12 8 2
Noah Clowney S 27 8 5 1
Danny Wolf 23 8 3 2
Jalen Wilson 16 5 2 0
Ochai Agbaji 11 4 1 0
Drake Powell 20 4 2 1
Egor Demin S 28 3 5 3
Terance Mann 24 3 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jared McCain 23 21 4 0
Chet Holmgren S 26 15 7 2
Isaiah Joe 22 11 7 1
Isaiah Hartenstein S 24 10 8 4
Luguentz Dort S 29 10 2 2
Nikola Topic 11 9 3 2
Cason Wallace S 30 8 4 6
Kenrich Williams 15 7 2 0
Aaron Wiggins S 28 7 4 0
Jaylin Williams 18 7 4 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Luguentz Dort · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:47 Q1
"Luguentz Dort makes 26-foot three point jumper (Cason Wallace assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
16%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
3 Luguentz Dort OKC
10%
4 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN
9%
5 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC
9%
6 Cason Wallace OKC
9%
7 Noah Clowney BKN
8%
8 Kenrich Williams OKC
7%
9 Nolan Traore BKN
7%
10 Egor Demin BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
25%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 21.9 5.9 3.4
2 Nolan Traore BKN 14.4 3.4 5.7
3 Isaiah Joe OKC 13.0 2.7 1.9
4 Egor Demin BKN 12.9 3.8 3.0
5 Nic Claxton BKN 11.9 6.3 2.9
6 Noah Clowney BKN 11.9 4.8 1.6
7 Aaron Wiggins OKC 11.6 3.5 2.3
8 Cason Wallace OKC 11.5 3.2 2.4
9 Danny Wolf BKN 11.3 5.8 2.8
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.0 3.3 1.7
11 Chet Holmgren OKC 10.7 6.2 1.3
12 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 10.4 8.4 2.0
13 Luguentz Dort OKC 9.1 3.4 1.3
14 Jaylin Williams OKC 9.0 5.2 2.1
15 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC 8.2 7.2 3.5
16 Kenrich Williams OKC 8.1 3.7 1.3
17 Terance Mann BKN 7.9 2.8 1.7
18 Jared McCain OKC 7.2 1.8 1.5
19 Jalen Wilson BKN 6.2 2.8 1.1
20 Drake Powell BKN 5.8 2.4 1.2
21 Alex Caruso OKC 5.6 1.6 1.5
22 Ochai Agbaji BKN 4.7 2.6 1.0
23 Brooks Barnhizer OKC 2.0 1.1 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.