NBA games

BKN @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
84–112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN1632191784
CLE34363210112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home CLE
6% 94%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Michael Porter Jr. S 21 14 5 2
Ochai Agbaji 28 13 3 3
Danny Wolf 28 11 6 7
Egor Demin S 26 10 5 1
Terance Mann 22 9 3 0
Noah Clowney S 20 8 1 2
Nolan Traore S 30 8 1 5
Day'Ron Sharpe S 20 4 5 3
Jalen Wilson 7 3 3 0
Ziaire Williams 22 2 2 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 21 17 3 5
James Harden S 28 16 5 9
Jarrett Allen S 24 15 10 1
Dennis Schroder 20 12 3 3
Jaylon Tyson 23 11 5 2
Dean Wade S 16 11 5 0
Evan Mobley S 19 10 9 2
Keon Ellis 20 7 3 0
Tyrese Proctor 10 6 2 0
Sam Merrill 22 3 3 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jarrett Allen · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Jarrett Allen makes free throw 2 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jarrett Allen CLE
13%
2 Evan Mobley CLE
11%
3 Michael Porter Jr. BKN
10%
4 James Harden CLE
9%
5 Jaylon Tyson CLE
9%
6 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN
8%
7 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
8 Ziaire Williams BKN
6%
9 Nolan Traore BKN
6%
10 Terance Mann BKN
5%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
17%
Free Throw
53%
Jumper
14%
Layup
16%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 James Harden CLE 24.9 4.9 8.6
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE 21.4 3.0 5.7
3 Michael Porter Jr. BKN 20.8 5.7 3.1
4 Evan Mobley CLE 19.1 8.3 3.9
5 Jarrett Allen CLE 17.2 9.6 1.9
6 Jaylon Tyson CLE 16.4 4.6 3.1
7 Nolan Traore BKN 12.6 3.0 4.6
8 Dennis Schroder CLE 12.1 2.7 3.5
9 Egor Demin BKN 11.8 3.2 2.7
10 Noah Clowney BKN 11.1 4.9 1.4
11 Danny Wolf BKN 11.0 5.6 2.1
12 Sam Merrill CLE 10.5 2.2 1.8
13 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 10.0 8.0 1.7
14 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.8 3.0 1.3
15 Terance Mann BKN 6.9 2.4 2.0
16 Dean Wade CLE 5.1 2.9 1.3
17 Thomas Bryant CLE 4.9 2.8 0.9
18 Keon Ellis CLE 4.8 1.6 0.9
19 Drake Powell BKN 4.8 1.8 0.9
20 Jalen Wilson BKN 4.6 2.3 0.8
21 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 4.6 2.3 2.7
22 Tyrese Proctor CLE 3.7 0.7 1.2
23 Ochai Agbaji BKN 3.3 1.9 0.6
24 Larry Nance Jr. CLE 2.7 1.6 0.5
25 Tristan Enaruna CLE 2.5 1.2 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.