SAC @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
93–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 20 | 24 | 22 | 27 | 93 |
| UTAH | 39 | 32 | 29 | 21 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
UTAH
32%
68%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan S | 29 | 20 | 3 | 1 |
| Devin Carter S | 30 | 19 | 5 | 4 |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 33 | 9 | 6 | 4 |
| Maxime Raynaud S | 28 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Precious Achiuwa S | 16 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 27 | 6 | 10 | 3 |
| Nique Clifford S | 38 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Isaiah Stevens | 20 | 6 | 1 | 4 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Maxime Raynaud ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 10:33 Q1
"Maxime Raynaud makes 3-foot dunk (Nique Clifford assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
12%
2
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
11%
3
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
11%
4
Jaren Jackson Jr.
UTAH
10%
5
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
10%
6
Ace Bailey
UTAH
9%
7
Jusuf Nurkic
UTAH
8%
8
Maxime Raynaud
SAC
7%
9
De'Andre Hunter
SAC
7%
10
Nique Clifford
SAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
27%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 23.7 | 7.0 | 2.7 |
| 2 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | UTAH | 23.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 |
| 3 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 19.5 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 4 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 18.7 | 10.6 | 5.0 |
| 5 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 18.4 | 5.1 | 9.8 |
| 6 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 16.1 | 5.1 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Jusuf Nurkic | UTAH | 14.9 | 11.1 | 6.4 |
| 8 | Nique Clifford | SAC | 13.1 | 3.8 | 2.9 |
| 9 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 13.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| 10 | De'Andre Hunter | SAC | 12.0 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 11.4 | 8.1 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Maxime Raynaud | SAC | 10.1 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 8.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 8.3 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Vince Williams Jr. | UTAH | 7.7 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| 16 | Dylan Cardwell | SAC | 7.7 | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Devin Carter | SAC | 6.8 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 18 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 6.5 | 6.0 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 5.9 | 5.1 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 5.5 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| 21 | John Konchar | UTAH | 4.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 22 | Drew Eubanks | SAC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Isaiah Stevens | SAC | 2.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 26 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.