SAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
94–120
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 26 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 94 |
| NO | 31 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 120 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
NO
48%
52%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Raynaud S | 38 | 21 | 19 | 1 |
| Russell Westbrook S | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 |
| Devin Carter | 30 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
| Nique Clifford S | 37 | 10 | 5 | 6 |
| DeMar DeRozan S | 20 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Precious Achiuwa S | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Dylan Cardwell | 32 | 6 | 11 | 1 |
| Daeqwon Plowden | 28 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Drew Eubanks | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Doug McDermott | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
DeMar DeRozan ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"DeMar DeRozan makes 20-foot jumper"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
14%
2
Trey Murphy III
NO
13%
3
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
11%
4
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
9%
5
Keegan Murray
SAC
8%
6
Saddiq Bey
NO
8%
7
Russell Westbrook
SAC
7%
8
Derik Queen
NO
7%
9
Maxime Raynaud
SAC
6%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
17%
Free Throw
20%
Jumper
22%
Layup
39%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 22.8 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
| 2 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 22.6 | 5.9 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Russell Westbrook | SAC | 20.3 | 3.6 | 5.8 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 20.3 | 7.5 | 3.8 |
| 5 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 19.4 | 3.9 | 3.6 |
| 6 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 18.5 | 11.3 | 4.8 |
| 7 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 14.4 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| 8 | Derik Queen | NO | 13.2 | 6.3 | 4.3 |
| 9 | Nique Clifford | SAC | 12.7 | 3.9 | 2.3 |
| 10 | Maxime Raynaud | SAC | 8.8 | 6.0 | 1.1 |
| 11 | Herbert Jones | NO | 8.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Jordan Poole | NO | 8.2 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 8.1 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| 14 | Bryce McGowens | NO | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Dylan Cardwell | SAC | 7.5 | 8.6 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Devin Carter | SAC | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Yves Missi | NO | 7.0 | 6.2 | 1.5 |
| 18 | Precious Achiuwa | SAC | 6.1 | 5.4 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Daeqwon Plowden | SAC | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 4.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Micah Peavy | NO | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.1 | 4.7 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 3.1 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Drew Eubanks | SAC | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.