UTAH @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
117–120
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 30 | 35 | 29 | 23 | 117 |
| ORL | 33 | 21 | 33 | 33 | 120 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
ORL
36%
64%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen S | 27 | 27 | 7 | 1 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. S | 25 | 22 | 4 | 3 |
| Isaiah Collier | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 |
| Kevin Love | 12 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| Ace Bailey S | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 12 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| Keyonte George S | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| John Konchar | 18 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Jusuf Nurkic S | 24 | 3 | 14 | 6 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jaren Jackson Jr. ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 10:53 Q1
"Jaren Jackson Jr. makes 8-foot floating jump shot (Ace Bailey assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Keyonte George
UTAH
10%
2
Desmond Bane
ORL
9%
3
Paolo Banchero
ORL
8%
4
Jusuf Nurkic
UTAH
8%
5
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
8%
6
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
8%
7
Anthony Black
ORL
8%
8
Cody Williams
UTAH
7%
9
Jaren Jackson Jr.
UTAH
7%
10
Ace Bailey
UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
17%
Layup
51%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 25.6 | 8.1 | 5.5 |
| 2 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 25.4 | 3.6 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 24.7 | 6.9 | 3.0 |
| 4 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | UTAH | 22.1 | 6.5 | 2.4 |
| 5 | Desmond Bane | ORL | 21.5 | 3.8 | 4.1 |
| 6 | Jusuf Nurkic | UTAH | 18.3 | 11.3 | 6.6 |
| 7 | Anthony Black | ORL | 17.8 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
| 8 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 17.3 | 4.9 | 8.6 |
| 9 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 17.2 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 10 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 15.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 |
| 11 | Jalen Suggs | ORL | 15.0 | 4.8 | 6.6 |
| 12 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 12.2 | 8.3 | 2.6 |
| 13 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 11.4 | 5.6 | 2.1 |
| 14 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 9.1 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Vince Williams Jr. | UTAH | 8.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| 17 | Moritz Wagner | ORL | 7.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 6.4 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 6.3 | 6.0 | 1.6 |
| 20 | Noah Penda | ORL | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 5.7 | 5.3 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Jett Howard | ORL | 4.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Jase Richardson | ORL | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Jamal Cain | ORL | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 25 | John Konchar | UTAH | 3.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 26 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 3.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 27 | Jevon Carter | ORL | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| 28 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 3.5 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| 29 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 3.4 | 2.2 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.