NBA games

LAC @ SAC

NBA Golden 1 Center ·Final
114–111
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC17313135114
SAC27222834111

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home SAC
58% 42%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kawhi Leonard S 36 31 9 7
John Collins S 34 22 7 1
Kris Dunn S 33 15 1 5
Brook Lopez S 36 15 9 2
Derrick Jones Jr. S 27 13 3 0
Jordan Miller 24 7 3 2
Cam Christie 9 5 0 0
Nicolas Batum 16 3 3 2
Yanic Konan Niederhauser 6 2 0 0
Kobe Sanders 18 1 5 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Malik Monk 22 18 2 2
Nique Clifford 33 16 2 2
Devin Carter 22 14 4 4
Dylan Cardwell 31 14 14 1
Maxime Raynaud S 26 12 5 2
Daeqwon Plowden 14 8 0 0
Russell Westbrook S 20 6 3 5
Zach LaVine S 18 6 2 4
Precious Achiuwa 8 6 4 1
De'Andre Hunter S 25 6 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
De'Andre Hunter · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"De'Andre Hunter makes 16-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 DeMar DeRozan SAC
14%
2 John Collins LAC
12%
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC
11%
4 Zach LaVine SAC
10%
5 Russell Westbrook SAC
10%
6 Precious Achiuwa SAC
10%
7 De'Andre Hunter SAC
9%
8 Kris Dunn LAC
8%
9 Brook Lopez LAC
8%
10 Kobe Sanders LAC
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
24%
Jumper
21%
Layup
32%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Kawhi Leonard LAC 25.6 5.7 4.6
2 DeMar DeRozan SAC 21.4 3.4 4.5
3 Russell Westbrook SAC 20.1 3.5 6.5
4 Zach LaVine SAC 17.7 2.7 2.6
5 Jordan Miller LAC 15.3 4.3 2.8
6 John Collins LAC 14.4 4.9 1.8
7 Malik Monk SAC 13.6 2.7 3.6
8 De'Andre Hunter SAC 11.2 3.0 2.1
9 Kobe Sanders LAC 11.1 3.1 2.1
10 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 9.8 3.5 1.6
11 Kris Dunn LAC 9.0 3.4 4.1
12 Nique Clifford SAC 8.8 3.4 1.9
13 Maxime Raynaud SAC 7.5 5.9 1.1
14 Bogdan Bogdanovic LAC 6.7 2.5 2.2
15 Brook Lopez LAC 6.5 2.7 1.2
16 Precious Achiuwa SAC 6.5 5.3 1.1
17 Dylan Cardwell SAC 6.5 7.6 1.4
18 Devin Carter SAC 5.5 2.2 1.8
19 Cam Christie LAC 5.1 2.2 1.1
20 TyTy Washington Jr. LAC 4.8 1.5 2.4
21 Yanic Konan Niederhauser LAC 4.4 2.8 0.6
22 Nicolas Batum LAC 4.3 2.6 1.1
23 Doug McDermott SAC 2.9 0.7 0.4
24 Drew Eubanks SAC 2.6 1.4 0.3
25 Daeqwon Plowden SAC 2.6 1.0 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.