NBA games

NY @ DET

NBA Little Caesars Arena ·Final
80–118
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY1725182080
DET28352728118

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DET) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home DET
73% 27%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Mikal Bridges S 28 19 1 2
Jalen Brunson S 31 12 4 4
Jordan Clarkson 19 11 4 5
Ariel Hukporti 22 6 7 1
Landry Shamet 21 5 2 3
Tyler Kolek 20 5 3 3
Pacome Dadiet 7 5 1 0
Josh Hart S 25 5 6 2
Mitchell Robinson S 20 4 3 0
Mohamed Diawara S 21 4 2 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Daniss Jenkins 18 18 4 3
Tobias Harris S 26 15 6 1
Isaiah Stewart S 21 15 3 0
Paul Reed 27 12 6 4
Cade Cunningham S 22 11 5 7
Duncan Robinson S 20 9 4 2
Caris LeVert 18 8 1 6
Kevin Huerter 8 8 0 1
Javonte Green 14 8 3 0
Chaz Lanier 6 7 2 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Isaiah Stewart · Dunk (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Isaiah Stewart makes 3-foot driving dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Duren DET
13%
2 Jalen Brunson NY
11%
3 Cade Cunningham DET
10%
4 OG Anunoby NY
10%
5 Mikal Bridges NY
10%
6 Ausar Thompson DET
9%
7 Isaiah Stewart DET
9%
8 Tobias Harris DET
9%
9 Josh Hart NY
7%
10 Jordan Clarkson NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
24%
Free Throw
29%
Jumper
24%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cade Cunningham DET 24.5 4.6 9.1
2 Jalen Brunson NY 23.1 3.6 5.5
3 OG Anunoby NY 19.2 5.5 3.7
4 Jalen Duren DET 16.7 9.8 1.8
5 Mikal Bridges NY 13.9 3.5 3.6
6 Tobias Harris DET 13.3 4.3 2.6
7 Josh Hart NY 12.8 6.4 4.7
8 Duncan Robinson DET 10.5 2.6 1.7
9 Ausar Thompson DET 10.1 6.5 2.9
10 Isaiah Stewart DET 9.3 4.2 1.2
11 Landry Shamet NY 9.2 2.2 1.5
12 Daniss Jenkins DET 7.9 1.8 3.1
13 Kevin Huerter DET 7.1 3.5 2.6
14 Ronald Holland II DET 6.8 3.6 1.4
15 Jordan Clarkson NY 6.4 1.8 0.9
16 Caris LeVert DET 6.3 2.5 2.5
17 Mitchell Robinson NY 6.0 9.1 0.9
18 Paul Reed DET 5.6 5.0 1.5
19 Tyler Kolek NY 5.5 1.8 3.7
20 Javonte Green DET 5.2 2.5 0.7
21 Marcus Sasser DET 5.1 1.4 1.5
22 Mohamed Diawara NY 3.6 1.6 0.7
23 Kevin McCullar Jr. NY 3.4 1.9 1.5
24 Ariel Hukporti NY 3.1 2.8 0.5
25 Wendell Moore Jr. DET 3.0 1.3 0.8
26 Trey Jemison III NY 2.4 2.5 0.7
27 Chaz Lanier DET 2.2 0.7 0.5
28 Pacome Dadiet NY 1.1 0.7 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.