LAC @ PHX
NBA
Mortgage Matchup Center
·Final
117–93
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 24 | 25 | 36 | 32 | 117 |
| PHX | 20 | 23 | 28 | 22 | 93 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHX) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
PHX
54%
46%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawhi Leonard S | 30 | 25 | 8 | 5 |
| Jordan Miller | 24 | 20 | 5 | 2 |
| John Collins S | 28 | 16 | 9 | 2 |
| Ivica Zubac S | 33 | 14 | 20 | 1 |
| Kobe Sanders S | 31 | 12 | 2 | 4 |
| Brook Lopez | 21 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| Kris Dunn S | 30 | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Cam Christie | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Yanic Konan Niederhauser | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Nicolas Batum | 22 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Grayson Allen ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:27 Q1
"Grayson Allen makes 10-foot driving floating jump shot (Mark Williams assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Dillon Brooks
PHX
15%
2
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
13%
3
Mark Williams
PHX
12%
4
Ivica Zubac
LAC
11%
5
Grayson Allen
PHX
11%
6
Royce O'Neale
PHX
11%
7
John Collins
LAC
10%
8
Collin Gillespie
PHX
9%
9
Kris Dunn
LAC
7%
10
Kobe Sanders
LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
21%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 24.7 | 5.8 | 4.2 |
| 2 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 20.3 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Dillon Brooks | PHX | 20.1 | 4.6 | 2.5 |
| 4 | John Collins | LAC | 14.6 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
| 5 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 14.0 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 6 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 13.2 | 4.1 | 2.4 |
| 7 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 12.9 | 10.1 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Mark Williams | PHX | 11.8 | 8.0 | 1.4 |
| 9 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 10.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| 10 | Kobe Sanders | LAC | 9.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| 11 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 7.7 | 3.0 | 3.1 |
| 12 | Jordan Goodwin | PHX | 7.4 | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 13 | Jamaree Bouyea | PHX | 7.3 | 2.6 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Bogdan Bogdanovic | LAC | 7.1 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
| 15 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 6.6 | 4.8 | 1.7 |
| 16 | Brook Lopez | LAC | 5.8 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Cam Christie | LAC | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Isaiah Livers | PHX | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Yanic Konan Niederhauser | LAC | 3.6 | 2.8 | 0.5 |
| 22 | Rasheer Fleming | PHX | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Nigel Hayes-Davis | PHX | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Khaman Maluach | PHX | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Nick Richards | PHX | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.