UTAH @ TOR
NBA
Scotiabank Arena
·Final
100–107
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 23 | 33 | 28 | 16 | 100 |
| TOR | 28 | 23 | 35 | 21 | 107 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (TOR) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
TOR
15%
85%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen S | 39 | 27 | 11 | 2 |
| Isaiah Collier S | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 |
| Jusuf Nurkic S | 33 | 11 | 13 | 1 |
| Cody Williams S | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 30 | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. | 18 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 9 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Ace Bailey S | 27 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Immanuel Quickley ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:28 Q1
"Immanuel Quickley makes 24-foot three point jumper (Scottie Barnes assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Scottie Barnes
TOR
12%
2
RJ Barrett
TOR
10%
3
Jusuf Nurkic
UTAH
9%
4
Brandon Ingram
TOR
9%
5
Collin Murray-Boyles
TOR
9%
6
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
9%
7
Ace Bailey
UTAH
8%
8
Immanuel Quickley
TOR
8%
9
Cody Williams
UTAH
7%
10
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
29%
Layup
35%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brandon Ingram | TOR | 24.9 | 6.0 | 4.9 |
| 2 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 24.2 | 6.4 | 3.1 |
| 3 | Scottie Barnes | TOR | 23.8 | 8.8 | 7.4 |
| 4 | Immanuel Quickley | TOR | 20.8 | 5.4 | 7.1 |
| 5 | RJ Barrett | TOR | 20.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 |
| 6 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 19.8 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Jusuf Nurkic | UTAH | 19.3 | 10.5 | 7.2 |
| 8 | Ace Bailey | UTAH | 15.7 | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | TOR | 14.5 | 5.4 | 3.0 |
| 10 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 13.0 | 3.4 | 6.1 |
| 11 | Collin Murray-Boyles | TOR | 12.6 | 9.1 | 4.2 |
| 12 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 12.3 | 6.7 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Gradey Dick | TOR | 10.2 | 3.8 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 9.8 | 4.0 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Jamal Shead | TOR | 9.8 | 3.1 | 5.9 |
| 16 | Ja'Kobe Walter | TOR | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.3 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 18 | Kevin Love | UTAH | 7.2 | 7.0 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Walter Clayton Jr. | UTAH | 6.9 | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 20 | Ochai Agbaji | TOR | 6.8 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Kyle Anderson | UTAH | 6.5 | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 22 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 4.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Jamison Battle | TOR | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Jonathan Mogbo | TOR | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| 25 | Garrett Temple | TOR | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.