NBA games

BKN @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
109–99
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN27272926109
UTAH2626291899

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home UTAH
38% 62%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Egor Demin S 29 25 10 4
Cam Thomas 24 21 2 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 18 16 9 1
Danny Wolf S 28 14 5 2
Jalen Wilson 20 9 3 3
Terance Mann S 28 7 2 1
Nolan Traore S 26 7 2 6
Nic Claxton S 30 6 9 3
Ben Saraf 21 2 3 2
Drake Powell 16 2 2 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keyonte George S 32 26 3 7
Brice Sensabaugh 26 18 5 0
Kyle Filipowski S 28 14 12 2
Ace Bailey S 29 12 2 0
Isaiah Collier 27 10 2 7
Taylor Hendricks 15 7 3 1
Cody Williams S 28 6 2 1
Svi Mykhailiuk S 21 3 2 3
Kyle Anderson 20 2 1 4
Walter Clayton Jr. 13 1 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Cody Williams · Layup (2 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Cody Williams makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Walker Kessler UTAH
11%
2 Keyonte George UTAH
11%
3 Ace Bailey UTAH
11%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
10%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
6 Cody Williams UTAH
9%
7 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
8%
8 Danny Wolf BKN
8%
9 Nolan Traore BKN
8%
10 Terance Mann BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
40%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
8%
Layup
37%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 25.0 6.5 3.2
2 Keyonte George UTAH 25.0 3.5 6.4
3 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 19.9 3.5 2.2
4 Walker Kessler UTAH 17.4 10.8 4.3
5 Ace Bailey UTAH 16.0 4.8 2.5
6 Egor Demin BKN 13.1 2.8 3.7
7 Nic Claxton BKN 12.5 7.8 4.1
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH 12.3 3.4 6.5
9 Cam Thomas BKN 11.7 2.8 4.1
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 11.0 5.8 2.5
11 Nolan Traore BKN 10.7 2.4 3.8
12 Cody Williams UTAH 10.6 3.9 1.5
13 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 10.2 7.9 2.3
14 Terance Mann BKN 9.3 3.4 3.2
15 Danny Wolf BKN 8.8 4.6 1.9
16 Kyle Anderson UTAH 8.4 4.2 2.6
17 Drake Powell BKN 8.0 2.5 2.0
18 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 7.8 2.4 3.9
19 Ben Saraf BKN 7.7 2.1 2.8
20 Tyrese Martin BKN 7.5 2.6 1.1
21 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.5 2.5 1.9
22 Jalen Wilson BKN 7.4 2.5 1.2
23 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 4.5 2.4 1.2
24 E.J. Liddell BKN 3.7 1.4 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.