NBA games

LAC @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
115–103
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
LAC18353626115
UTAH29252029103

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC away
home UTAH
87% 13%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kawhi Leonard S 28 21 7 4
James Harden S 31 16 3 10
Brook Lopez 20 14 5 0
Kris Dunn S 31 14 2 2
John Collins S 23 11 2 1
Jordan Miller 25 11 4 3
Ivica Zubac S 22 9 7 3
Kobe Sanders 22 8 5 3
Nicolas Batum 21 8 2 0
Kobe Brown 6 3 1 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ace Bailey S 29 20 1 0
Lauri Markkanen S 29 19 5 4
Brice Sensabaugh 25 13 1 3
Isaiah Collier S 29 12 4 9
Kyle Anderson 25 12 3 5
Cody Williams S 25 11 2 0
Kyle Filipowski 24 8 10 2
Walter Clayton Jr. 19 5 2 2
Kevin Love S 24 3 11 1
Taylor Hendricks 12 0 1 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ace Bailey · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:08 Q1
"Ace Bailey makes 24-foot three point jumper (Lauri Markkanen assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 James Harden LAC
14%
2 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
12%
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC
11%
4 Ivica Zubac LAC
11%
5 Keyonte George UTAH
11%
6 John Collins LAC
9%
7 Ace Bailey UTAH
9%
8 Cody Williams UTAH
8%
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
8%
10 Kris Dunn LAC
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
45%
Layup
18%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 James Harden LAC 27.4 5.1 10.1
2 Kawhi Leonard LAC 27.0 6.4 5.1
3 Keyonte George UTAH 24.9 3.3 6.3
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 23.8 7.9 3.2
5 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 17.8 4.1 2.1
6 John Collins LAC 17.2 5.1 1.8
7 Ivica Zubac LAC 15.2 12.8 2.6
8 Jordan Miller LAC 15.2 4.5 2.7
9 Isaiah Collier UTAH 12.3 3.1 6.3
10 Ace Bailey UTAH 12.2 4.1 1.9
11 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 10.1 5.8 2.0
12 Cody Williams UTAH 10.0 3.8 1.7
13 Walter Clayton Jr. UTAH 9.9 2.5 4.1
14 Kobe Sanders LAC 8.7 3.3 2.0
15 Kris Dunn LAC 8.2 3.6 3.5
16 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 7.5 2.3 1.8
17 Kevin Love UTAH 7.4 6.0 1.6
18 Brook Lopez LAC 6.9 3.4 1.3
19 Kyle Anderson UTAH 6.5 3.6 1.7
20 Yanic Konan Niederhauser LAC 6.3 4.5 1.1
21 Nicolas Batum LAC 5.8 3.0 1.2
22 Cam Christie LAC 5.2 2.2 1.3
23 Kobe Brown LAC 3.6 2.3 1.3
24 Taylor Hendricks UTAH 3.4 1.9 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.