NO @ OKC
NBA
Paycom Center
·Final
95–104
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 14 | 32 | 23 | 26 | 95 |
| OKC | 17 | 31 | 31 | 25 | 104 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (OKC) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
OKC
19%
81%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 |
| Saddiq Bey S | 33 | 16 | 13 | 5 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 39 | 10 | 5 | 5 |
| Yves Missi | 21 | 9 | 6 | 2 |
| Herbert Jones S | 27 | 9 | 5 | 5 |
| Derik Queen S | 26 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4 |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 7 | 2 | 1 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Micah Peavy | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Derik Queen ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:05 Q1
"Derik Queen makes 15-foot jumper (Trey Murphy III assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
16%
2
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
14%
3
Chet Holmgren
OKC
13%
4
Derik Queen
NO
11%
5
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
6
Saddiq Bey
NO
11%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
8
Luguentz Dort
OKC
8%
9
Jaylin Williams
OKC
8%
10
Jordan Poole
NO
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
29%
Jumper
18%
Layup
42%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | OKC | 30.6 | 3.9 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.9 | 5.4 | 4.9 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 21.8 | 7.6 | 4.2 |
| 4 | Saddiq Bey | NO | 19.8 | 4.9 | 2.9 |
| 5 | Chet Holmgren | OKC | 17.8 | 10.0 | 1.9 |
| 6 | Jeremiah Fears | NO | 12.4 | 4.4 | 3.3 |
| 7 | Aaron Wiggins | OKC | 10.7 | 4.7 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Derik Queen | NO | 10.5 | 8.4 | 5.1 |
| 9 | Luguentz Dort | OKC | 10.1 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 9.5 | 4.0 | 2.2 |
| 11 | Jordan Poole | NO | 8.9 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
| 12 | Kenrich Williams | OKC | 8.3 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Isaiah Joe | OKC | 7.8 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Yves Missi | NO | 7.8 | 7.5 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 6.7 | 2.8 | 3.0 |
| 16 | Jaylin Williams | OKC | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.4 |
| 17 | Micah Peavy | NO | 6.2 | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Ousmane Dieng | OKC | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 5.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Alex Caruso | OKC | 5.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Branden Carlson | OKC | 4.6 | 3.0 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Kevon Looney | NO | 3.2 | 5.3 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Brooks Barnhizer | OKC | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Chris Youngblood | OKC | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.